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Hamilton vs Clyde

Scotland Scotland

League One 2025/2026 ZLX Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hamilton play Clyde in the League One 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Hamilton averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Clyde averaged 1.58 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. In past meetings, Hamilton won 4, Clyde won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 15, 2026 ended 4:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Hamilton and 1.50 for Clyde. This points to a Hamilton double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Hamilton
23%
Draws
30%
Clyde
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Hamilton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Hamilton picked up more points recently compared to Clyde.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Hamilton Clean Sheet 16%
Clyde Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hamilton Clyde
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.63 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 League One
Hamilton vs Clyde
4:3
May 12, 2026 League One
Clyde vs Hamilton
1:1
Jul 15, 2023 League Cup
Clyde vs Hamilton
1:3
Jan 10, 2023 Challenge Cup
Hamilton vs Clyde
3:2
Jul 17, 2019 League Cup
Clyde vs Hamilton
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hamilton Compare

Top Goalscorer Gallacher T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader MacDonald K.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Clyde Compare

Top Goalscorer Connell K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dunachie L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamilton 46 / 100
Clyde 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hamilton Clyde

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Hamilton or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hamilton attacking → ← attacking Clyde

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hamilton scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Clyde let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Hamilton went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Clyde lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 39
2.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75