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Hamilton vs Cove Rangers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

League One ZLX Stadium, Hamilton
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Ryan A.
Assist: McKinstry S.
41'
White J.
54'
Sub
Bannigan S. In: Crookston G.
Out: Bannigan S.

AI Match Summary

The League One game between Hamilton and Cove Rangers finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hamilton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Hamilton
15%
Draws
27%
Cove Rangers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hamilton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hamilton come out ahead of Cove Rangers on wins alone.
  • Hamilton are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Hamilton Clean Sheet 17%
Cove Rangers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hamilton Cove Rangers
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 20 10
Draws 4 5
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 2.18 1.48
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 League One
Hamilton vs Cove Rangers
1:0
Mar 21, 2026 League One
Cove Rangers vs Hamilton
2:2
Jan 24, 2026 League One
Hamilton vs Cove Rangers
2:0
Nov 15, 2025 League One
Cove Rangers vs Hamilton
2:1
Aug 30, 2025 League One
Hamilton vs Cove Rangers
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hamilton Compare

Top Goalscorer Ryan A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Cove Rangers Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamilton 84 / 100
Cove Rangers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hamilton Cove Rangers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hamilton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hamilton scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Hamilton went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Cove Rangers let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Hamilton VS Cove Rangers
2.63 Goals Scored 2.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hamilton

(Home)
17 Oct
Airdrieonians
1 : 2
Hamilton
13 Oct
Gala Fairydean Rovers
0 : 2
Hamilton
10 Oct
Alloa
0 : 3
Hamilton
03 Oct
Hamilton
2 : 1
Peterhead
26 Sept
Hamilton
3 : 0
Kilmarnock B
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Cove Rangers

(Away)
17 Oct
Peterhead
2 : 0
Cove Rangers
13 Oct
Cove Rangers
2 : 1
Formartine Utd
10 Oct
Cove Rangers
1 : 1
East Fife
03 Oct
Queen of the South
4 : 3
Cove Rangers
26 Sept
Cove Rangers
2 : 1
Aberdeen B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ross County 10 9 1 0 38:6 28
2 Hamilton 10 9 1 0 23:3 28
3 East Kilbride 11 5 3 3 20:15 18
4 Montrose 11 5 1 5 14:20 16
5 Airdrieonians 11 3 4 4 10:15 13
6 Alloa 11 3 3 5 12:13 12
7 Peterhead 11 3 1 7 9:17 10
8 Queen of the South 11 3 1 7 12:34 10
9 East Fife 11 1 6 4 8:14 9
10 Cove Rangers 11 1 3 7 9:18 6
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)