Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hamilton vs Musselburgh

Scotland Scotland

Scottish Cup 2024/2025 ZLX Stadium, Hamilton
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Hendrie S.
Assist: Smith C.
26'
Martin S.
32'
Barker J.

AI Match Summary

Hamilton in this Scottish Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Hamilton
20%
Draws
20%
Musselburgh
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hamilton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hamilton lately — more wins on the board than Musselburgh.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Hamilton taking it.
  • Hamilton have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Hamilton, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Hamilton Clean Sheet 68%
Musselburgh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hamilton Musselburgh
Matches Played 29 21
Wins 19 9
Draws 4 2
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2.03 1.71
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2025 Scottish Cup
Hamilton vs Musselburgh
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hamilton Compare

Top Goalscorer Hendrie S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McGinty S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Musselburgh Compare

Top Goalscorer Todd J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamilton 95 / 100
Musselburgh 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hamilton Musselburgh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hamilton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hamilton scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Musselburgh has conceded goals in 81% of their last 21 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Hamilton has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hamilton VS Musselburgh
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hamilton

(Home)
23 Sept
Hamilton
1 : 0
Cowdenbeath
19 Sept
Hamilton
4 : 1
Queen of the South
08 Sept
Spartans
0 : 4
Hamilton
05 Sept
East Kilbride
0 : 1
Hamilton
29 Aug
Hamilton
1 : 0
Cove Rangers
Page 1 of 6

Musselburgh

(Away)
19 Sept
Berwick
0 : 0
Musselburgh
15 Sept
Hill Of Beath
1 : 0
Musselburgh
12 Sept
Musselburgh
2 : 0
Gala Fairydean Rovers
29 Aug
Brechin
3 : 1
Musselburgh
22 Aug
Musselburgh
2 : 2
Boness United
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Arbroath -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Queen of the South -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Mirren -
Spartans -
TBD -
Cowdenbeath 3
Rutherglen 2
Brechin 1
Newtongrange Star 0
Huntly 3
Wick Academy 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hearts -
Dundee FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundee Utd -
Dumbarton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alloa -
Dundonald Bluebell 1
Inverurie Loco Works 2
Dundee North End 4
Tranent FC 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Airdrieonians -
Elgin City -
TBD -
TBD -
Clyde -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kelty Hearts -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberdeen -
Forres Mechanics 1
Jeanfield Swifts 2
TBD -
Edinburgh City -
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TBD -
TBD -
Dunfermline -
Burntisland Shipyard 1
Irvine Meadow 4
Cumbernauld Colts 0
Civil Service Strollers 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stenhousemuir -
Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fraserburgh 8
Rothes 0
Broomhill 0
Turriff United 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Annan -
Queen's Park -
TBD -
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Partick -
Peterhead -
TBD -
East Stirlingshire 2
Lochee United 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Montrose -
Ross County -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Livingston -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brora Rangers 2
Cumnock Juniors 1
Formartine Utd 2
Whitehill Welfare 0
Cove Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Inverness -
Forfar Athletic -
TBD -
Berwick 4
Cupar Hearts 2
Stirling -
TBD -
Dunbar United 1
Boness Athletic 4
St Johnstone -
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Motherwell -
East Fife -
TBD -
Gala Fairydean Rovers 0
Banks O' Dee 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hamilton -
Musselburgh 1
Darvel FC 0
Stirling University 0
Caledonian Braves 2
Tynecastle 2
Hill Of Beath 3
Deveronvale 2
Boness United 4
Celtic -
TBD -
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Kilmarnock -
East Kilbride 2
Gretna 2008 0
TBD -
Bonnyrigg Rose -
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Falkirk -
Linlithgow Rose 3
Lossiemouth 1
Clachnacuddin 3
Nairn County 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Raith -
Threave Rovers 6
Vale Of Leithen 1
TBD -
Stranraer -
Albion Rovers 1
Auchinleck Talbot 2
Dalkeith Thistle FC 0
Broxburn Athletic 4
Ayr -
TBD -
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TBD -
Morton -
Hibernian -
TBD -
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Keith 2
Camelon Juniors 1
Clydebank FC 3
Girvan 1
Strathspey Thistle 0
Sauchie 6
Buckie Thistle 2
Carluke Rovers FC 1
1/64-finals
Arbroath -
TBD -
TBD -
Queen of the South -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Mirren -
Spartans 1
Cowdenbeath 2
Brechin 3
Huntly 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hearts -
Dundee FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundee Utd -
Dumbarton -
TBD -
TBD -
Alloa -
Inverurie Loco Works 1
Dundee North End 3
TBD -
Airdrieonians -
Elgin City 2
Clyde 1
TBD -
Kelty Hearts -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberdeen -
Jeanfield Swifts 1
Edinburgh City 2
TBD -
Dunfermline -
Irvine Meadow 3
Civil Service Strollers 0
TBD -
Stenhousemuir -
Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fraserburgh 3
Turriff United 1
TBD -
Annan -
Queen's Park -
TBD -
TBD -
Partick -
Peterhead 6
Lochee United 3
TBD -
Montrose -
Ross County -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Livingston -
TBD -
Brora Rangers 2
Formartine Utd 1
Cove Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Inverness -
Forfar Athletic 1
Berwick 0
Stirling 6
Boness Athletic 0
St Johnstone -
TBD -
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Motherwell -
East Fife 0
Banks O' Dee 1
TBD -
Hamilton -
Musselburgh 2
Caledonian Braves 1
Hill Of Beath 0
Boness United 2
Celtic -
TBD -
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Kilmarnock -
East Kilbride 3
Bonnyrigg Rose 1
TBD -
Falkirk -
Linlithgow Rose 3
Clachnacuddin 0
TBD -
Raith -
Threave Rovers 2
Stranraer 3
Auchinleck Talbot 0
Broxburn Athletic 1
Ayr -
TBD -
TBD -
Morton -
Hibernian -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Keith 0
Clydebank FC 3
Sauchie 0
Buckie Thistle 2
1/32-finals
Arbroath 0
Queen of the South 1
TBD -
St. Mirren -
Cowdenbeath 1
Brechin 4
TBD -
Hearts -
Dundee FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundee Utd -
Dumbarton 3
Alloa 2
Dundee North End 0
Airdrieonians 1
Elgin City 3
Kelty Hearts 2
TBD -
Aberdeen -
Edinburgh City 1
Dunfermline 2
Irvine Meadow 0
Stenhousemuir 5
Rangers -
TBD -
Fraserburgh 2
Annan 0
Queen's Park 3
Partick 2
Peterhead 2
Montrose 3
Ross County -
TBD -
Livingston 2
Brora Rangers 0
Cove Rangers 2
Inverness 0
Forfar Athletic 4
Stirling 3
St Johnstone -
TBD -
TBD -
Motherwell -
Banks O' Dee 1
Hamilton 2
Musselburgh 3
Boness United 1
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
Kilmarnock -
East Kilbride 1
Falkirk 3
Linlithgow Rose 0
Raith 4
Stranraer 1
Broxburn Athletic 2
Ayr 2
Morton 0
Hibernian -
TBD -
Clydebank FC 2
Buckie Thistle 0
1/16-finals
Queen of the South 1
St. Mirren 3
Brechin 1
Hearts 4
Dundee FC 1
Dundee Utd 0
Dumbarton 1
Airdrieonians 5
Elgin City 0
Aberdeen 3
Dunfermline 3
Stenhousemuir 0
Rangers 5
Fraserburgh 0
Queen's Park 3
Montrose 2
Ross County 2
Livingston 3
Cove Rangers 2
Forfar Athletic 0
St Johnstone 1
Motherwell 0
Hamilton 3
Musselburgh 1
Celtic 2
Kilmarnock 1
Falkirk 1
Raith 2
Broxburn Athletic 0
Ayr 8
Hibernian 3
Clydebank FC 0
1/8-finals
St. Mirren 1
Hearts 2
Dundee FC 4
Airdrieonians 0
Aberdeen 3
Dunfermline 0
Rangers 0
Queen's Park 1
Livingston 3
Cove Rangers 0
St Johnstone 1
Hamilton 0
Celtic 5
Raith 0
Ayr 0
Hibernian 1
Quarter-finals
Hearts 3
Dundee FC 1
Aberdeen 4
Queen's Park 1
Livingston 0
St Johnstone 1
Celtic 2
Hibernian 0
Semi-finals
Hearts 1
Aberdeen 2
St Johnstone 0
Celtic 5
Final
Aberdeen 2
Celtic 1