Sport Picks

Scotland

League One 2025/2026 ZLX Stadium

Hamilton

3 - 1

Peterhead

Our Tip

Match Events

Shaw O.

Assist: Hutton Z.

15'

Hutton Z.

56'

O'Hara K.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Hamilton in this League One 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hamilton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Hamilton

44%

Draws

20%

Peterhead

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Hamilton have won more games recently than Peterhead.
44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Hamilton have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%

Hamilton Clean Sheet 13%

Peterhead Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Hamilton	Peterhead
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	14	11
Draws	7	5
Losses	8	13
Goals Scored	2	2
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 League Cup

Peterhead vs Hamilton

Possession: 48% - 43% Cards: 3 - 1

0:1

Apr 25, 2026 League One

Hamilton vs Peterhead

Possession: 55% - 56% Cards: 3 - 0

3:1

Jan 17, 2026 League One

Peterhead vs Hamilton

Possession: 56% - 58% Cards: 4 - 3

2:3

Nov 8, 2025 League One

Hamilton vs Peterhead

Possession: 58% - 43% Cards: 4 - 1

3:0

Sep 13, 2025 League One

Peterhead vs Hamilton

Possession: 59% - 48% Cards: 1 - 3

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hamilton Compare

Top Goalscorer Shaw O.

1 Goals

Assists Leader O'Hara K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

Peterhead Compare

Top Goalscorer Brown J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamilton 35 / 100

Peterhead 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Hamilton Peterhead

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PET Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:4

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Peterhead has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Hamilton went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Hamilton found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Hamilton VS Peterhead

2 Goals Scored 2

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13

88% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 75%

50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Inverness	36	21	11	4	60:24	69
2	Stenhousemuir	36	18	13	5	50:27	67
3	Queen of the South	36	14	12	10	58:47	54
4	Alloa	36	15	8	13	50:38	53
5	Peterhead	36	12	7	17	48:64	43
6	Montrose	36	11	9	16	48:67	42
7	Cove Rangers	36	9	11	16	41:44	38
8	East Fife	36	9	9	18	34:61	36
9	Hamilton	36	16	7	13	54:42	34
10	Kelty Hearts	36	6	11	19	33:62	29