Sport Picks

Scotland

League Cup ZLX Stadium, Hamilton

Hamilton

Sat, Jul 18, 2026

2 - 1

02:00 PM

Raith

Our Tip

Match Events

23'

Rowe J.

26'

Vaughan L.

(Penalty)

32'

Blues C.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Hamilton advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Hamilton

20%

Draws

38%

Raith

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hamilton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Hamilton carry the better recent record into this one.
Hamilton are the model's pick here, at 42%.
Hamilton have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Raith, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%

Hamilton Clean Sheet 15%

Raith Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Hamilton	Raith
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	14	13
Draws	6	6
Losses	9	11
Goals Scored	2	1.75
Goals Conceded	1.38	1
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 League Cup

Hamilton vs Raith

2:1

Jun 27, 2026 Club Friendly

Raith vs Hamilton

2:2

Dec 9, 2025 Challenge Cup

Raith vs Hamilton

5:2

Mar 29, 2025 Championship

Hamilton vs Raith

0:3

Feb 22, 2025 Championship

Raith vs Hamilton

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hamilton Compare

Top Goalscorer Blues C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

Raith Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamilton 41 / 100

Raith 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Hamilton Raith

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Hamilton's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Raith's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Hamilton stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hamilton VS Raith

2 Goals Scored 1.75

1.38 Goals Conceded 1

88% Over 1.5 63%

75% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hamilton

(Home)

21 Jul

Kilmarnock

1 : 0

Hamilton

18 Jul

Hamilton

2 : 1

Raith

11 Jul

Peterhead

0 : 1

Hamilton

04 Jul

Haverfordwest

0 : 4

Hamilton

30 Jun

Linlithgow Rose

2 : 2

Hamilton

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Raith

(Away)

21 Jul

Raith

1 : 0

Peterhead

18 Jul

Hamilton

2 : 1

Raith

14 Jul

Kilmarnock

1 : 0

Raith

11 Jul

Raith

3 : 1

Elgin City

30 Jun

Raith

4 : 0

Edinburgh City

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