Sport Picks

Scotland

League Cup ZLX Stadium, Hamilton

Hamilton

Sat, Jul 18, 2026

2 - 1

02:00 PM

Raith

Our Tip

Match Events

23'

Rowe J.

26'

Vaughan L.

(Penalty)

32'

Blues C.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

Hamilton

15%

Draws

46%

Raith

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Raith

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence

Hamilton carry the better recent record into this one.
Hamilton are the model's pick here, at 36%.
Hamilton have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Raith, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%

Hamilton Clean Sheet 20%

Raith Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Hamilton	Raith
Matches Played	27	28
Wins	16	14
Draws	4	4
Losses	7	10
Goals Scored	1.93	1.57
Goals Conceded	1	1.07
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 League Cup

Hamilton vs Raith

2:1

Jun 27, 2026 Club Friendly

Raith vs Hamilton

2:2

Dec 9, 2025 Challenge Cup

Raith vs Hamilton

5:2

Mar 29, 2025 Championship

Hamilton vs Raith

0:3

Feb 22, 2025 Championship

Raith vs Hamilton

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hamilton Compare

Top Goalscorer Blues C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Raith Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85

Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamilton 36 / 100

Raith 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Hamilton Raith

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hamilton's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Raith's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Hamilton stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hamilton VS Raith

1.63 Goals Scored 1.38

0.5 Goals Conceded 0.38

38% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 25%

38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hamilton

(Home)

08 Sept

Spartans

0 : 4

Hamilton

05 Sept

East Kilbride

0 : 1

Hamilton

29 Aug

Hamilton

1 : 0

Cove Rangers

25 Aug

Hamilton

0 : 1

Edinburgh City

22 Aug

East Fife

0 : 0

Hamilton

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Raith

(Away)

12 Sept

Raith

4 : 0

Arbroath

05 Sept

Inverness

0 : 2

Raith

28 Aug

Dunfermline

1 : 0

Raith

22 Aug

Raith

2 : 0

Ayr

08 Aug

Queen's Park

1 : 2

Raith

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