Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hamilton vs St. Mirren B

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup ZLX Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hamilton play St. Mirren B in the Challenge Cup. Hamilton are favorites here. Recently, Hamilton averaged 1.58 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. St. Mirren B averaged 1.18 goals scored and 2.64 conceded. In past meetings, Hamilton won 1, St. Mirren B won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 24, 2025 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Hamilton and 1.25 for St. Mirren B. This points to a Hamilton double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Hamilton
19%
Draws
17%
St. Mirren B
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Hamilton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence
  • Hamilton picked up more points recently compared to St. Mirren B.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Hamilton Clean Sheet 19%
St. Mirren B Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hamilton St. Mirren B
Matches Played 31 11
Wins 14 2
Draws 7 1
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.58 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.45 2.64

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2025 Challenge Cup
Hamilton vs St. Mirren B
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hamilton Compare

Top Goalscorer Shaw O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader O'Hara K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

St. Mirren B Compare

Top Goalscorer Lavery J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamilton 61 / 100
St. Mirren B 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hamilton St. Mirren B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hamilton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Hamilton & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.6%
1.79
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hamilton attacking → ← attacking St. Mirren B

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hamilton scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

St. Mirren B let in goals in 100% of their last 11 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Hamilton went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

St. Mirren B lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 7
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Inverness660026:418
2Stenhousemuir660018:218
3Montrose651018:916
4East Fife641117:913
5Stranraer641112:613
6East Kilbride640213:1112
7Forfar Athletic640210:812
8Edinburgh City640211:1012
9Spartans632114:811
10Elgin City632111:911
11Dumbarton632110:811
12Annan631215:1010
13Alloa631217:1410
14Kelty Hearts63129:610
15Clyde631214:1210
16Queen of the South631212:1010
17Hamilton631213:89
18Stirling63039:99
19Cove Rangers62229:68
20Peterhead622210:108
21Celtic B620412:156
22Hearts B62049:146
23Hibernian B612311:145
24St. Mirren B61149:154
25Dundee Utd B61055:183
26Aberdeen B60159:201
27Motherwell B60152:171
28Rangers B60066:160
29Kilmarnock B60063:190
30Dundee FC B60064:210