Sport Picks
Hamilton vs St. Mirren B
Scotland
Challenge Cup 2025/2026 ZLX Stadium, Hamilton 
Match Events
17'
17'
O'Hara K.
Assist: Shaw O.
34'
34'
Shaw O.
Assist: Hutton Z.
35'
35'
Shaw O.
Assist: Herd J.
AI Match Summary
Hamilton in this Challenge Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hamilton
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Hamilton lately — more wins on the board than St. Mirren B.
- Hamilton are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Hamilton have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Hamilton, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Hamilton Clean Sheet 16%
St. Mirren B Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hamilton | St. Mirren B |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 15 |
| Wins | 17 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 2.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 24, 2025 Challenge Cup
Hamilton vs St. Mirren B
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hamilton Compare
Top Goalscorer Shaw O.
2 Goals Assists Leader O'Hara K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
St. Mirren B Compare
Top Goalscorer Lavery J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hamilton 48 / 100
St. Mirren B 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hamilton St. Mirren B
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Hamilton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hamilton scored in 85% of their last 27 games.
St. Mirren B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 15 matches.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Hamilton went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Hamilton VS St. Mirren B
2.38 Goals Scored 2.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Hamilton
(Home) 08 Sept
Spartans
0 : 4 Hamilton
05 Sept
East Kilbride
0 : 1 Hamilton
29 Aug
Hamilton
1 : 0 Cove Rangers
25 Aug
Hamilton
0 : 1 Edinburgh City
22 Aug
East Fife
0 : 0 Hamilton
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Hamilton
1 : 0 Cove Rangers
25 Aug
Hamilton
0 : 1 Edinburgh City
15 Aug
Hamilton
4 : 0 Airdrieonians
12 Aug
Hamilton
1 : 3 Celtic B
08 Aug
Hamilton
1 : 0 Alloa
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St. Mirren B
(Away) 08 Sept
Airdrieonians
1 : 0 St. Mirren B
25 Aug
East Fife
2 : 5 St. Mirren B
11 Aug
Clyde
1 : 4 St. Mirren B
07 Jul
East Kilbride
4 : 4 St. Mirren B
11 Nov
Stranraer
2 : 0 St. Mirren B
Page 1 of 3
08 Sept
Airdrieonians
1 : 0 St. Mirren B
25 Aug
East Fife
2 : 5 St. Mirren B
11 Aug
Clyde
1 : 4 St. Mirren B
07 Jul
East Kilbride
4 : 4 St. Mirren B
11 Nov
Stranraer
2 : 0 St. Mirren B
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inverness | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 26:4 | 18 |
| 2 | Stenhousemuir | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18:2 | 18 |
| 3 | Montrose | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18:9 | 16 |
| 4 | East Fife | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17:9 | 13 |
| 5 | Stranraer | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 13 |
| 6 | East Kilbride | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13:11 | 12 |
| 7 | Forfar Athletic | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | 12 |
| 8 | Edinburgh City | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:10 | 12 |
| 9 | Spartans | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:8 | 11 |
| 10 | Elgin City | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:9 | 11 |
| 11 | Dumbarton | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 12 | Annan | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15:10 | 10 |
| 13 | Alloa | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17:14 | 10 |
| 14 | Kelty Hearts | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 10 |
| 15 | Clyde | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:12 | 10 |
| 16 | Queen of the South | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:10 | 10 |
| 17 | Hamilton | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 9 |
| 18 | Stirling | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:9 | 9 |
| 19 | Cove Rangers | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 8 |
| 20 | Peterhead | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 21 | Celtic B | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12:15 | 6 |
| 22 | Hearts B | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:14 | 6 |
| 23 | Hibernian B | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11:14 | 5 |
| 24 | St. Mirren B | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:15 | 4 |
| 25 | Dundee Utd B | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5:18 | 3 |
| 26 | Aberdeen B | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9:20 | 1 |
| 27 | Motherwell B | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:17 | 1 |
| 28 | Rangers B | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6:16 | 0 |
| 29 | Kilmarnock B | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3:19 | 0 |
| 30 | Dundee FC B | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:21 | 0 |
Promotion - Challenge Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
