Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Watt I.
Assist: Colquhoun L.
68'
68'
Muir C.
Assist: McIntosh K.
69'
69'
Giard J.
Assist: McTear G.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hamilton W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Aberdeen W lately — more wins on the board than Hamilton W.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Hamilton W taking it.
- Aberdeen W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Aberdeen W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Hamilton W Clean Sheet 10%
Aberdeen W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hamilton W | Aberdeen W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 3 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 25 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 4.03 | 2.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 26, 2026 SWPL Cup Women
Hamilton W vs Aberdeen W
2:1
May 10, 2026 SWPL 1 Women
Aberdeen W vs Hamilton W
4:0
Mar 22, 2026 SWPL 1 Women
Hamilton W vs Aberdeen W
2:3
Feb 1, 2026 SWPL 1 Women
Hamilton W vs Aberdeen W
2:2
Oct 12, 2025 SWPL 1 Women
Aberdeen W vs Hamilton W
5:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hamilton W Compare
Top Goalscorer Muir C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Giard J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Aberdeen W Compare
Top Goalscorer Watt I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hamilton W 83 / 100
Aberdeen W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hamilton W Aberdeen W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Hamilton W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aberdeen W let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.
Aberdeen W's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
Recent resilience: Hamilton W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Hamilton W VS Aberdeen W
1.63 Goals Scored 2
3 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Hamilton W
(Home) 13 Sept
Motherwell W
2 : 0 Hamilton W
09 Aug
Montrose W
9 : 0 Hamilton W
05 Aug
Hamilton W
3 : 0 Livingston W
02 Aug
Renfrew W
0 : 8 Hamilton W
26 Jul
Hamilton W
2 : 1 Aberdeen W
Page 1 of 6
05 Aug
Hamilton W
3 : 0 Livingston W
26 Jul
Hamilton W
2 : 1 Aberdeen W
17 May
Hamilton W
0 : 5 Montrose W
26 Apr
Hamilton W
0 : 3 Motherwell W
22 Mar
Hamilton W
2 : 3 Aberdeen W
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Aberdeen W
(Away) 20 Sept
Rangers W
3 : 1 Aberdeen W
06 Sept
Spartans W
3 : 1 Aberdeen W
30 Aug
Aberdeen W
0 : 3 Partick W
23 Aug
Aberdeen W
0 : 3 Glasgow City W
16 Aug
Hearts W
6 : 0 Aberdeen W
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Rangers W
3 : 1 Aberdeen W
06 Sept
Spartans W
3 : 1 Aberdeen W
16 Aug
Hearts W
6 : 0 Aberdeen W
05 Aug
Dundee Utd W
0 : 1 Aberdeen W
26 Jul
Hamilton W
2 : 1 Aberdeen W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montrose W | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Motherwell W | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:7 | 9 |
| 3 | Spartans W | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 4 | Hamilton W | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:10 | 9 |
| 5 | Kilmarnock W | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 9 |
| 6 | Boroughmuir W | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 7 | Livingston W | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:12 | 6 |
| 8 | Gartcairn W | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:7 | 6 |
| 9 | Dundee Utd W | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 5 |
| 10 | Queen's Park W | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:9 | 4 |
| 11 | Renfrew W | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:16 | 3 |
| 12 | St Johnstone W | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9:16 | 3 |
| 13 | Aberdeen W | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | 3 |
| 14 | Falkirk FCF W | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:17 | 0 |
Promotion - SWPL Cup Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - SWPL Cup Women (Play Offs)
