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Hamilton W vs Livingston W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

SWPL Cup Women
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Giard J.
24' Event
Muir C.
72' Event
Muir C.
Assist: Gibb S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Hamilton W
15%
Draws
34%
Livingston W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hamilton W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Hamilton W haven't matched Livingston W's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Hamilton W taking it.
  • Livingston W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Hamilton W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 96%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 96%
Over 3.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 38%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Hamilton W Clean Sheet 68%
Livingston W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hamilton W Livingston W
Matches Played 32 13
Wins 5 6
Draws 2 0
Losses 25 7
Goals Scored 0.84 2.15
Goals Conceded 3.84 3.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 3.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2026 SWPL Cup Women
Hamilton W vs Livingston W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hamilton W Compare

Top Goalscorer Muir C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Giard J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Livingston W Compare

Avg xG / game 3.01
Avg xA / game 1.84

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamilton W 77 / 100
Livingston W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hamilton W Livingston W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hamilton W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Livingston W let in goals in 85% of their last 13 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Hamilton W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Livingston W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hamilton W VS Livingston W
0.75 Goals Scored 2
4.63 Goals Conceded 3.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
88% Over 3.5 83%

Recent Form & Match History

Hamilton W

(Home)
13 Sept
Motherwell W
2 : 0
Hamilton W
09 Aug
Montrose W
9 : 0
Hamilton W
05 Aug
Hamilton W
3 : 0
Livingston W
02 Aug
Renfrew W
0 : 8
Hamilton W
26 Jul
Hamilton W
2 : 1
Aberdeen W
Page 1 of 7

Livingston W

(Away)
13 Sept
Livingston W
0 : 8
Glasgow City W
26 Aug
Livingston W
3 : 1
Queen's Park W
09 Aug
Livingston W
5 : 0
Falkirk FCF W
05 Aug
Hamilton W
3 : 0
Livingston W
02 Aug
Livingston W
1 : 7
Motherwell W
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montrose W 4 4 0 0 25:3 12
2 Motherwell W 4 3 0 1 13:7 9
3 Spartans W 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
4 Hamilton W 4 3 0 1 13:10 9
5 Kilmarnock W 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
6 Boroughmuir W 4 2 0 2 5:5 6
7 Livingston W 4 2 0 2 9:12 6
8 Gartcairn W 4 2 0 2 9:7 6
9 Dundee Utd W 4 2 0 2 7:6 5
10 Queen's Park W 4 1 0 3 7:9 4
11 Renfrew W 4 1 0 3 2:16 3
12 St Johnstone W 4 1 0 3 9:16 3
13 Aberdeen W 4 1 0 3 5:8 3
14 Falkirk FCF W 4 0 0 4 2:17 0
Promotion - SWPL Cup Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - SWPL Cup Women (Play Offs)