Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hammam-Lif vs Esperance Tunis

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue Professionnelle 1 Stade Municipal de Hammam-Lif, Hammam-Lif
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Ghrairi H.
37'
Ben Ammar O.
37'
Konate A.

AI Match Summary

Esperance Tunis in this Ligue Professionnelle 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Esperance Tunis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Hammam-Lif
15%
Draws
68%
Esperance Tunis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Esperance Tunis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

17% / Low Confidence
  • Esperance Tunis have won more games recently than Hammam-Lif.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Esperance Tunis here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.200000000000003%
Hammam-Lif Clean Sheet 68%
Esperance Tunis Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hammam-Lif Esperance Tunis
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 13 20
Draws 5 6
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.14 1.66
Goals Conceded 0.61 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Hammam-Lif vs Esperance Tunis
0:1
Apr 26, 2025 Tunisia Cup
Hammam-Lif vs Esperance Tunis
0:4
Apr 6, 2022 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Hammam-Lif vs Esperance Tunis
2:1
Nov 6, 2021 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Esperance Tunis vs Hammam-Lif
2:0
Feb 23, 2020 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Hammam-Lif vs Esperance Tunis
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hammam-Lif Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Esperance Tunis Compare

Top Goalscorer Sahraoui M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hammam-Lif 41 / 100
Esperance Tunis 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hammam-Lif Esperance Tunis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hammam-Lif Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Hammam-Lif's goal record stands at 36% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Esperance Tunis has conceded goals in 47% of their last 32 outings.

Solid form: Hammam-Lif remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hammam-Lif VS Esperance Tunis
0.57 Goals Scored 1.5
0.57 Goals Conceded 0.63
14% Over 1.5 50%
14% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hammam-Lif

(Home)
20 Sept
Ben Guerdane
1 : 0
Hammam-Lif
13 Sept
Hammam-Lif
0 : 1
Esperance Tunis
05 Sept
PS Sakiet Eddaier
1 : 0
Hammam-Lif
30 Aug
Hammam-Lif
0 : 1
CA Bizertin
30 May
Hammam-Lif
3 : 0
Stade Gabesien
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Esperance Tunis

(Away)
04 Oct
Esperance Tunis
3 : 1
Military Union
13 Sept
Hammam-Lif
0 : 1
Esperance Tunis
06 Sept
Esperance Tunis
2 : 1
AS Marsa
30 Aug
Jeunesse Sportive
3 : 1
Esperance Tunis
23 Aug
Esperance Tunis
3 : 2
Etoile Sahel
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Africain 3 3 0 0 3:0 9
2 Esperance Tunis 4 3 0 1 7:6 9
3 Ben Guerdane 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
4 CS Sfaxien 4 2 2 0 6:3 8
5 Monastir 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
6 PS Sakiet Eddaier 4 2 2 0 4:1 8
7 Jeunesse Sportive 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
8 CA Bizertin 4 2 1 1 3:3 7
9 Stade Tunisien 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
10 Etoile Sahel 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
11 AS Marsa 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
12 Zarzis 4 1 0 3 3:5 3
13 Metlaoui 4 1 0 3 2:4 3
14 Olympique Beja 4 0 2 2 3:5 2
15 Hamam-Sousse 4 0 1 3 1:5 1
16 Hammam-Lif 4 0 0 4 0:4 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)