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Hammam-Lif vs Kasserine

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Dridi I.
86'
Amine M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Hammam-Lif advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Hammam-Lif
15%
Draws
49%
Kasserine
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kasserine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Hammam-Lif's 1.2 goals per match outpaces what Kasserine have produced (1.17).
  • Win probability leans Hammam-Lif's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Hammam-Lif, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Hammam-Lif Clean Sheet 68%
Kasserine Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hammam-Lif Kasserine
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 15
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.2 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.6 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Ligue 2
Hammam-Lif vs Kasserine
1:0
May 29, 2016 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Hammam-Lif vs Kasserine
2:0
Dec 30, 2015 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Kasserine vs Hammam-Lif
0:0
Feb 14, 2010 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Hammam-Lif vs Kasserine
2:0
Aug 2, 2009 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Kasserine vs Hammam-Lif
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hammam-Lif Compare

Top Goalscorer Dridi I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Kasserine Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hammam-Lif 50 / 100
Kasserine 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hammam-Lif Kasserine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hammam-Lif Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kasserine let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Away concern: Kasserine has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Hammam-Lif's goal record stands at 37% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Hammam-Lif VS Kasserine
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hammam-Lif

(Home)
20 Sept
Ben Guerdane
1 : 0
Hammam-Lif
13 Sept
Hammam-Lif
0 : 1
Esperance Tunis
05 Sept
PS Sakiet Eddaier
1 : 0
Hammam-Lif
30 Aug
Hammam-Lif
0 : 1
CA Bizertin
30 May
Hammam-Lif
3 : 0
Stade Gabesien
Page 1 of 6

Kasserine

(Away)
25 May
Hammam-Lif
1 : 0
Kasserine
12 May
Kasserine
1 : 0
Ksour Essef
02 May
Redeyef
1 : 0
Kasserine
28 Apr
Kasserine
1 : 1
Stade Gabesien
19 Apr
Djelma
1 : 0
Kasserine
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Hammam-Lif 1
Kasserine 0
Stade Gabesien 2
US Tataouine 0
Final
Hammam-Lif 3
Stade Gabesien 0