Sport Picks
Hammarby TFF vs FBK Karlstad
Sweden
Division 1 - Norra Hammarby IP, Stockholm 
Match Events
27'
27'
Steen L.
46'
46'
Olsson W.
56'
56'
Sub
Musa I. In: Moses S.
Out: Musa I.
AI Match Summary
The Division 1 - Norra game between Hammarby TFF and FBK Karlstad finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
35%
41%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FBK Karlstad
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Hammarby TFF haven't matched FBK Karlstad's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular Division 1 - Norra form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Hammarby TFF Clean Sheet 20%
FBK Karlstad Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hammarby TFF | FBK Karlstad |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 15 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.04 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 9, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Hammarby TFF vs FBK Karlstad
1:1
Jun 26, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
FBK Karlstad vs Hammarby TFF
0:7
Oct 20, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Hammarby TFF vs FBK Karlstad
3:3
May 17, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
FBK Karlstad vs Hammarby TFF
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hammarby TFF Compare
Top Goalscorer Johansson A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
FBK Karlstad Compare
Top Goalscorer Steen L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hammarby TFF 36 / 100
FBK Karlstad 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hammarby TFF FBK Karlstad
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FBK Karlstad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Hammarby TFF scored in 77% of their last 26 games.
FBK Karlstad let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.
Recent resilience: Hammarby TFF stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Hammarby TFF VS FBK Karlstad
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Hammarby TFF
(Home) 17 Sept
Vasalund
0 : 0 Hammarby TFF
12 Sept
Hammarby TFF
1 : 0 Sollentuna
05 Sept
FC Stockholm Internazionale
3 : 0 Hammarby TFF
31 Aug
Hammarby TFF
0 : 0 Karlbergs
23 Aug
Hammarby TFF
1 : 1 Pitea
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Hammarby TFF
1 : 0 Sollentuna
31 Aug
Hammarby TFF
0 : 0 Karlbergs
23 Aug
Hammarby TFF
1 : 1 Pitea
09 Aug
Hammarby TFF
1 : 1 FBK Karlstad
03 Aug
Hammarby TFF
5 : 1 FC Arlanda
Page 1 of 3
FBK Karlstad
(Away) 16 Sept
Karlstad
0 : 0 FBK Karlstad
12 Sept
FBK Karlstad
2 : 1 Vasalund
05 Sept
FC Jarfalla
0 : 3 FBK Karlstad
30 Aug
FBK Karlstad
4 : 3 Pitea
23 Aug
FC Arlanda
5 : 1 FBK Karlstad
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Karlstad
0 : 0 FBK Karlstad
05 Sept
FC Jarfalla
0 : 3 FBK Karlstad
23 Aug
FC Arlanda
5 : 1 FBK Karlstad
09 Aug
Hammarby TFF
1 : 1 FBK Karlstad
18 Jun
Sollentuna
0 : 2 FBK Karlstad
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Stockholm Internazionale | 22 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 53:19 | 48 |
| 2 | AFC Eskilstuna | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 41:29 | 43 |
| 3 | Hammarby TFF | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 46:18 | 42 |
| 4 | FC Arlanda | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 36:25 | 39 |
| 5 | Karlstad | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 33:21 | 38 |
| 6 | FBK Karlstad | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 36:32 | 38 |
| 7 | Enkopings SK | 22 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 35:36 | 38 |
| 8 | Assyriska FF | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 37:39 | 29 |
| 9 | Karlbergs | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 29:36 | 28 |
| 10 | Gefle | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 28:41 | 27 |
| 11 | Umea FC | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 28:37 | 26 |
| 12 | Vasalund | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 33:43 | 24 |
| 13 | Sollentuna | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 21:31 | 23 |
| 14 | FC Jarfalla | 22 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 29:47 | 18 |
| 15 | Pitea | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 24:43 | 15 |
| 16 | IFK Stocksund | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 43:55 | 14 |
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)
