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Hammarby TFF vs FC Arlanda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Hammarby IP, Stockholm
Hammarby TFF Logo

Hammarby TFF

5 - 1
FT
FC Arlanda Logo

FC Arlanda

Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Johansson A.
Assist: Moczarny O.
33'
Gibson W.
49' Event
Andren G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Hammarby TFF in this Division 1 - Norra matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hammarby TFF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Hammarby TFF
15%
Draws
54%
FC Arlanda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Arlanda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Arlanda have won more games recently than Hammarby TFF.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on FC Arlanda taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Hammarby TFF Clean Sheet 11%
FC Arlanda Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hammarby TFF FC Arlanda
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 13 16
Draws 6 6
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.89 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
FC Arlanda vs Hammarby TFF
4:2
Aug 3, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Hammarby TFF vs FC Arlanda
5:1
Mar 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Hammarby TFF vs FC Arlanda
0:0
Oct 5, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Hammarby TFF vs FC Arlanda
3:1
Jun 8, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
FC Arlanda vs Hammarby TFF
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hammarby TFF Compare

Top Goalscorer Johansson A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Andren G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

FC Arlanda Compare

Top Goalscorer Antholm I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hammarby TFF 14 / 100
FC Arlanda 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hammarby TFF FC Arlanda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Arlanda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Hammarby TFF found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).

FC Arlanda let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Hammarby TFF went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hammarby TFF VS FC Arlanda
0.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hammarby TFF

(Home)
04 Oct
Umea FC
2 : 1
Hammarby TFF
25 Sept
Hammarby TFF
2 : 1
IFK Stocksund
21 Sept
FC Arlanda
4 : 2
Hammarby TFF
17 Sept
Vasalund
0 : 0
Hammarby TFF
12 Sept
Hammarby TFF
1 : 0
Sollentuna
Page 1 of 6

FC Arlanda

(Away)
10 Oct
Karlstad
3 : 0
FC Arlanda
04 Oct
Vasalund
1 : 4
FC Arlanda
27 Sept
FC Arlanda
2 : 0
Enkopings SK
21 Sept
FC Arlanda
4 : 2
Hammarby TFF
16 Sept
Gefle
0 : 2
FC Arlanda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 26 19 3 4 63:21 60
2 FC Arlanda 26 14 6 6 46:31 48
3 AFC Eskilstuna 26 14 5 7 48:37 47
4 Hammarby TFF 25 13 6 6 51:25 45
5 Karlstad 26 12 8 6 40:25 44
6 FBK Karlstad 25 12 7 6 41:35 43
7 Enkopings SK 25 13 3 9 38:40 42
8 Karlbergs 26 9 6 11 36:44 33
9 Assyriska FF 25 9 5 11 43:45 32
10 Umea FC 25 9 5 11 34:41 32
11 Gefle 25 9 3 13 29:43 30
12 Vasalund 26 7 7 12 39:55 28
13 Sollentuna 26 6 9 11 27:36 27
14 Pitea 25 5 7 13 30:46 22
15 FC Jarfalla 25 5 4 16 33:55 19
16 IFK Stocksund 26 3 6 17 45:64 15
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)