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Hammarby TFF vs Karlstad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Hammarby IP, Stockholm
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hammarby TFF host Karlstad in the Division 1 - Norra. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Hammarby TFF at 1.82 goals for, 1.14 against; Karlstad at 1.62 for, 0.97 against. Past meetings favor Hammarby TFF slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.19) point toward Hammarby TFF. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Hammarby TFF
35%
Draws
41%
Karlstad
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Karlstad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Karlstad have won more games recently than Hammarby TFF.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Karlstad taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Hammarby TFF Clean Sheet 20%
Karlstad Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hammarby TFF Karlstad
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 14
Draws 6 8
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.82 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Karlstad vs Hammarby TFF
0:2
Nov 9, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Karlstad vs Hammarby TFF
1:2
Jun 14, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Hammarby TFF vs Karlstad
3:1
Sep 14, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Hammarby TFF vs Karlstad
1:1
Apr 1, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Karlstad vs Hammarby TFF
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hammarby TFF 24 / 100
Karlstad 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hammarby TFF Karlstad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karlstad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hammarby TFF's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Karlstad has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Hammarby TFF remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hammarby TFF VS Karlstad
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hammarby TFF

(Home)
11 Oct
Hammarby TFF
0 : 1
Enkopings SK
04 Oct
Umea FC
2 : 1
Hammarby TFF
25 Sept
Hammarby TFF
2 : 1
IFK Stocksund
21 Sept
FC Arlanda
4 : 2
Hammarby TFF
17 Sept
Vasalund
0 : 0
Hammarby TFF
Page 1 of 6

Karlstad

(Away)
10 Oct
Karlstad
3 : 0
FC Arlanda
03 Oct
Pitea
1 : 1
Karlstad
27 Sept
Karlstad
1 : 1
Karlbergs
19 Sept
Enkopings SK
2 : 2
Karlstad
16 Sept
Karlstad
0 : 0
FBK Karlstad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 26 19 3 4 63:21 60
2 FC Arlanda 26 14 6 6 46:31 48
3 AFC Eskilstuna 26 14 5 7 48:37 47
4 Hammarby TFF 26 13 6 7 51:26 45
5 Enkopings SK 26 14 3 9 39:40 45
6 Karlstad 26 12 8 6 40:25 44
7 FBK Karlstad 26 12 7 7 41:36 43
8 Assyriska FF 26 10 5 11 44:45 35
9 Umea FC 26 10 5 11 36:42 35
10 Karlbergs 26 9 6 11 36:44 33
11 Gefle 26 9 4 13 32:46 31
12 Vasalund 26 7 7 12 39:55 28
13 Sollentuna 26 6 9 11 27:36 27
14 Pitea 26 5 8 13 33:49 23
15 FC Jarfalla 26 5 4 17 34:57 19
16 IFK Stocksund 26 3 6 17 45:64 15
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)