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Hammarby vs Degerfors

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan 3Arena, Stockholm
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Abraham P.
61'
Sub
Dzabic R. In: Lindgren A.
Out: Dzabic R.
64'
Sub
Besara N. In: Tekie T.
Out: Besara N.

AI Match Summary

The Allsvenskan game between Hammarby and Degerfors finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hammarby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Hammarby
15%
Draws
32%
Degerfors
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hammarby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hammarby come out ahead of Degerfors on wins alone.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Hammarby taking it.
  • Regular Allsvenskan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Hammarby Clean Sheet 68%
Degerfors Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hammarby Degerfors
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 8
Draws 7 5
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 2.1 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 Allsvenskan
Hammarby vs Degerfors
4:0
Nov 3, 2025 Allsvenskan
Degerfors vs Hammarby
1:1
May 26, 2025 Allsvenskan
Hammarby vs Degerfors
1:0
May 25, 2023 Allsvenskan
Degerfors vs Hammarby
2:2
Apr 2, 2023 Allsvenskan
Hammarby vs Degerfors
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hammarby Compare

Top Goalscorer Madjed M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Abraham P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Degerfors Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hammarby 86 / 100
Degerfors 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hammarby Degerfors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hammarby Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hammarby's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Degerfors conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Hammarby has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hammarby VS Degerfors
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hammarby

(Home)
13 Sept
Hammarby
3 : 1
Brommapojkarna
06 Sept
Orgryte
1 : 1
Hammarby
30 Aug
AIK
3 : 2
Hammarby
26 Aug
FC Stockholm Internazionale
0 : 3
Hammarby
23 Aug
Hammarby
2 : 0
GAIS
Page 1 of 6

Degerfors

(Away)
14 Sept
Sirius
2 : 0
Degerfors
05 Sept
Degerfors
2 : 0
Halmstad
29 Aug
Elfsborg
2 : 0
Degerfors
23 Aug
Brommapojkarna
2 : 0
Degerfors
19 Aug
IFK Ostersund
1 : 5
Degerfors
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 21 15 3 3 50:27 48
2 Djurgarden 21 13 2 6 46:19 41
3 Hammarby 21 12 4 5 48:20 40
4 Elfsborg 21 9 7 5 29:21 34
5 Malmo FF 21 10 3 8 37:31 33
6 Hacken 21 8 9 4 34:30 33
7 AIK 21 9 6 6 30:32 33
8 Vasteras SK 21 9 5 7 32:35 32
9 IFK Goteborg 21 8 5 8 30:41 29
10 GAIS 21 7 6 8 25:20 27
11 Brommapojkarna 21 7 6 8 30:35 27
12 Mjallby 21 5 7 9 27:35 22
13 Kalmar 21 5 4 12 21:31 19
14 Degerfors 21 5 4 12 19:33 19
15 Orgryte 21 3 6 12 24:47 15
16 Halmstad 21 2 5 14 14:39 11
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)