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Hammarby vs Degerfors

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan 3Arena
Sun, Jul 19, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hammarby host Degerfors in the Allsvenskan. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Hammarby at 1.63 goals for, 1.38 against; Degerfors at 1.25 for, 1.75 against. Head-to-head, Hammarby have won 3 to Degerfors's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Nov 3, 2025, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.31) point toward Hammarby. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Hammarby
39%
Draws
31%
Degerfors
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hammarby come out ahead of Degerfors on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Allsvenskan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Hammarby Clean Sheet 18%
Degerfors Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hammarby Degerfors
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 2025 Allsvenskan
Degerfors vs Hammarby
1:1
May 26, 2025 Allsvenskan
Hammarby vs Degerfors
1:0
May 25, 2023 Allsvenskan
Degerfors vs Hammarby
2:2
Apr 2, 2023 Allsvenskan
Hammarby vs Degerfors
3:1
Aug 22, 2022 Allsvenskan
Hammarby vs Degerfors
5:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hammarby 31 / 100
Degerfors 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hammarby Degerfors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hammarby's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Degerfors conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Hammarby has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hammarby VS Degerfors
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sirius1192031:1429
2Hammarby1262426:1420
3Hacken1155122:1820
4Elfsborg1246217:1318
5Djurgarden1051423:1516
6GAIS1244417:1216
7Mjallby1144318:1516
8Malmo FF1151521:2016
9Brommapojkarna1144316:1716
10Vasteras SK1143420:2315
11AIK1143414:1715
12Kalmar1141614:1513
13Degerfors1124512:1710
14IFK Goteborg1124514:2410
15Halmstad1113710:236
16Orgryte1113710:286