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Hammarby vs Djurgarden - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan 3Arena, Stockholm
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hammarby host Djurgarden in the Allsvenskan. This one's hard to separate. Djurgarden have shipped 0.93 goals a game lately, while Hammarby have conceded 0.93 and scored 2. Head-to-head, Hammarby have won 3 to Djurgarden's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.44 - 1.63) back Hammarby to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Hammarby
15%
Draws
46%
Djurgarden
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Djurgarden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Djurgarden have won more games recently than Hammarby.
  • Win probability leans Djurgarden's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Allsvenskan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Hammarby Clean Sheet 14%
Djurgarden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hammarby Djurgarden
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 18
Draws 6 3
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 2 2.45
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Allsvenskan
Djurgarden vs Hammarby
1:1
Mar 15, 2026 Svenska Cupen
Hammarby vs Djurgarden
1:0
Sep 14, 2025 Allsvenskan
Djurgarden vs Hammarby
3:3
Apr 13, 2025 Allsvenskan
Hammarby vs Djurgarden
2:0
Oct 21, 2024 Allsvenskan
Hammarby vs Djurgarden
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hammarby 27 / 100
Djurgarden 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hammarby Djurgarden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Djurgarden Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hammarby scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Hammarby went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Djurgarden's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Hammarby VS Djurgarden
2.25 Goals Scored 2.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hammarby

(Home)
20 Sept
Degerfors
0 : 1
Hammarby
13 Sept
Hammarby
3 : 1
Brommapojkarna
06 Sept
Orgryte
1 : 1
Hammarby
30 Aug
AIK
3 : 2
Hammarby
26 Aug
FC Stockholm Internazionale
0 : 3
Hammarby
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Djurgarden

(Away)
20 Sept
Djurgarden
1 : 2
Elfsborg
14 Sept
Djurgarden
2 : 0
GAIS
10 Sept
Haninge
1 : 7
Djurgarden
07 Sept
Kalmar
0 : 1
Djurgarden
03 Sept
Mjallby
0 : 2
Djurgarden
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 22 16 3 3 52:28 51
2 Hammarby 22 13 4 5 49:20 43
3 Djurgarden 22 13 2 7 47:21 41
4 Elfsborg 22 10 7 5 31:22 37
5 Hacken 22 9 9 4 39:30 36
6 Vasteras SK 22 10 5 7 34:35 35
7 Malmo FF 22 10 3 9 37:33 33
8 AIK 22 9 6 7 31:34 33
9 IFK Goteborg 22 9 5 8 31:41 32
10 GAIS 22 8 6 8 28:20 30
11 Brommapojkarna 22 7 6 9 30:36 27
12 Mjallby 22 5 7 10 27:38 22
13 Kalmar 22 5 4 13 21:36 19
14 Degerfors 22 5 4 13 19:34 19
15 Orgryte 22 3 6 13 25:49 15
16 Halmstad 22 3 5 14 16:40 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)