Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hammarby vs Elfsborg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan 3Arena, Stockholm
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Magnusson J.
39' Event
Abraham P.
Assist: Adjei F.
46'
Sub
Hult N. In: Nordvall O.
Out: Hult N.

AI Match Summary

The Allsvenskan game between Hammarby and Elfsborg finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hammarby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Hammarby
30%
Draws
20%
Elfsborg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hammarby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hammarby come out ahead of Elfsborg on wins alone.
  • Model gives Hammarby a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Hammarby have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Hammarby Clean Sheet 20%
Elfsborg Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hammarby Elfsborg
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 20 12
Draws 6 11
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 2 1.47
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 6, 2026 Allsvenskan
Hammarby vs Elfsborg
4:1
Jul 5, 2026 Allsvenskan
Elfsborg vs Hammarby
1:2
Nov 9, 2025 Allsvenskan
Hammarby vs Elfsborg
3:0
May 31, 2025 Allsvenskan
Elfsborg vs Hammarby
0:2
Sep 22, 2024 Allsvenskan
Elfsborg vs Hammarby
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hammarby Compare

Top Goalscorer Abraham P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Madjed M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Elfsborg Compare

Top Goalscorer Ostman L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hammarby 76 / 100
Elfsborg 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hammarby Elfsborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hammarby Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 8:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hammarby's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Recent resilience: Hammarby stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Elfsborg has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Hammarby VS Elfsborg
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hammarby

(Home)
06 Nov
Hammarby
4 : 1
Elfsborg
01 Nov
Malmo FF
1 : 2
Hammarby
29 Oct
Hammarby
2 : 0
Sirius
25 Oct
Mjallby
0 : 2
Hammarby
18 Oct
Halmstad
0 : 1
Hammarby
Page 1 of 7

Elfsborg

(Away)
06 Nov
Hammarby
4 : 1
Elfsborg
01 Nov
Elfsborg
2 : 1
Orgryte
27 Oct
AIK
2 : 2
Elfsborg
23 Oct
Elfsborg
0 : 0
Malmo FF
18 Oct
Sirius
2 : 2
Elfsborg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hammarby 28 18 4 6 60:23 58
2 Sirius 27 18 4 5 58:34 58
3 Djurgarden 27 16 4 7 55:25 52
4 Hacken 27 13 10 4 48:30 49
5 Elfsborg 28 12 10 6 42:31 46
6 Vasteras SK 27 13 5 9 40:38 44
7 Malmo FF 27 12 4 11 42:36 40
8 AIK 27 10 8 9 43:47 38
9 IFK Goteborg 27 10 8 9 36:46 38
10 GAIS 27 10 7 10 34:27 37
11 Brommapojkarna 27 9 7 11 39:44 34
12 Mjallby 27 6 9 12 30:43 27
13 Kalmar 27 6 5 16 23:42 23
14 Degerfors 27 5 5 17 22:46 20
15 Orgryte 27 4 7 16 33:60 19
16 Halmstad 27 4 5 18 18:51 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)