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Hammarby vs GAIS - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan 3Arena, Stockholm
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Match Events

6' Event
Lind V.
11' Event
Abraham P.
Assist: Lind V.
43'
Sletsjoe H.

AI Match Summary

The Allsvenskan game between Hammarby and GAIS finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hammarby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Hammarby
15%
Draws
31%
GAIS
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hammarby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hammarby come out ahead of GAIS on wins alone.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Hammarby taking it.
  • Regular Allsvenskan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Hammarby Clean Sheet 20%
GAIS Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hammarby GAIS
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 18 13
Draws 5 8
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.94 1.48
Goals Conceded 0.87 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Allsvenskan
Hammarby vs GAIS
2:0
May 20, 2026 Allsvenskan
GAIS vs Hammarby
2:0
Aug 17, 2025 Allsvenskan
Hammarby vs GAIS
1:2
Jul 13, 2025 Allsvenskan
GAIS vs Hammarby
3:2
Aug 26, 2024 Allsvenskan
Hammarby vs GAIS
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hammarby Compare

Top Goalscorer Lind V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abraham P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

GAIS Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hammarby 76 / 100
GAIS 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hammarby GAIS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hammarby Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 9:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hammarby scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Hammarby remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

GAIS's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Hammarby VS GAIS
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hammarby

(Home)
01 Nov
Malmo FF
1 : 2
Hammarby
29 Oct
Hammarby
2 : 0
Sirius
25 Oct
Mjallby
0 : 2
Hammarby
18 Oct
Halmstad
0 : 1
Hammarby
11 Oct
Hammarby
0 : 1
Djurgarden
Page 1 of 7

GAIS

(Away)
02 Nov
GAIS
2 : 1
AIK
29 Oct
Kalmar
0 : 1
GAIS
25 Oct
GAIS
1 : 1
IFK Goteborg
18 Oct
Orgryte
4 : 2
GAIS
10 Oct
GAIS
0 : 1
Sirius
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 27 18 4 5 58:34 58
2 Hammarby 27 17 4 6 56:22 55
3 Djurgarden 27 16 4 7 55:25 52
4 Hacken 27 13 10 4 48:30 49
5 Elfsborg 27 12 10 5 41:27 46
6 Vasteras SK 27 13 5 9 40:38 44
7 Malmo FF 27 12 4 11 42:36 40
8 AIK 27 10 8 9 43:47 38
9 IFK Goteborg 27 10 8 9 36:46 38
10 GAIS 27 10 7 10 34:27 37
11 Brommapojkarna 27 9 7 11 39:44 34
12 Mjallby 27 6 9 12 30:43 27
13 Kalmar 27 6 5 16 23:42 23
14 Degerfors 27 5 5 17 22:46 20
15 Orgryte 27 4 7 16 33:60 19
16 Halmstad 27 4 5 18 18:51 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)