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Sweden

Allsvenskan 3Arena

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Hammarby play Kalmar in the Allsvenskan. It looks like a close match. Recently, Hammarby averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Kalmar averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Hammarby won 4, Kalmar won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 3, 2025 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Hammarby and 1.44 for Kalmar. This points to a Hammarby double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Hammarby

44%

Draws

20%

Kalmar

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Hammarby has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Kalmar.
Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Allsvenskan provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Hammarby Clean Sheet 16%

Kalmar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Hammarby	Kalmar
Matches Played	29	27
Wins	16	12
Draws	7	3
Losses	6	12
Goals Scored	1.63	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2025 Svenska Cupen

Hammarby vs Kalmar

Possession: 49% - 49% Cards: 1 - 1

2:1

Aug 4, 2024 Allsvenskan

Kalmar vs Hammarby

Possession: 51% - 49% Cards: 2 - 2

1:4

Mar 31, 2024 Allsvenskan

Hammarby vs Kalmar

Possession: 50% - 58% Cards: 0 - 2

3:1

Aug 20, 2023 Allsvenskan

Kalmar vs Hammarby

Possession: 47% - 48% Cards: 4 - 2

0:0

Jul 16, 2023 Allsvenskan

Hammarby vs Kalmar

Possession: 48% - 47% Cards: 4 - 3

3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hammarby 36 / 100

Kalmar 20 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Hammarby Kalmar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAL Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hammarby scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Kalmar let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Hammarby went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Kalmar lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hammarby VS Kalmar

1.63 Goals Scored 1.5

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13

88% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sirius	11	9	2	0	31:14	29
2	Hacken	10	5	5	0	20:14	20
3	Elfsborg	11	4	6	1	16:11	18
4	Hammarby	11	5	2	4	24:13	17
5	Mjallby	11	4	4	3	18:15	16
6	GAIS	11	4	3	4	16:11	15
7	Brommapojkarna	10	4	3	3	15:16	15
8	Djurgarden	9	4	1	4	19:13	13
9	Malmo FF	10	4	1	5	20:20	13
10	AIK	10	3	3	4	12:16	12
11	Vasteras SK	10	3	3	4	17:22	12
12	Degerfors	10	2	4	4	12:16	10
13	Kalmar	10	3	1	6	11:15	10
14	IFK Goteborg	10	2	4	4	13:22	10
15	Halmstad	10	1	3	6	9:20	6
16	Orgryte	10	1	3	6	10:25	6