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Hammarby W vs Rosengard W

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Women Hammarby IP
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AI Match Summary

Hammarby W play Rosengard W in the Allsvenskan Women. Hammarby W are favorites here. Recently, Hammarby W averaged 2.21 goals scored and 0.69 conceded. Rosengard W averaged 2.07 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. In past meetings, Hammarby W won 4, Rosengard W won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 29, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.46 for Hammarby W and 1.04 for Rosengard W. This points to a Hammarby W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Hammarby W
17%
Draws
26%
Rosengard W
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Hammarby W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Hammarby W picked up more points recently compared to Rosengard W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.46 vs 1.04 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Hammarby W Clean Sheet 22%
Rosengard W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hammarby W Rosengard W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 22 11
Draws 3 6
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 2.21 2.07
Goals Conceded 0.69 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Allsvenskan Women
Hammarby W vs Rosengard W
3:1
Feb 23, 2026 Svenska Cupen Women
Rosengard W vs Hammarby W
0:4
Aug 12, 2025 Allsvenskan Women
Rosengard W vs Hammarby W
2:2
May 1, 2025 Svenska Cupen Women
Hammarby W vs Rosengard W
5:0
Apr 14, 2025 Allsvenskan Women
Hammarby W vs Rosengard W
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hammarby W Compare

Top Goalscorer Reidy S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lia V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Rosengard W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.55
Avg xA / game 0.95

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hammarby W 56 / 100
Rosengard W 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hammarby W Rosengard W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hammarby W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Hammarby W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.3%
2.04
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hammarby W attacking → ← attacking Rosengard W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hammarby W scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Rosengard W let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Hammarby W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Rosengard W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

69 Points in last 5 39
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.71
0.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.43

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Hacken W11100126:1030
2Hammarby W1191122:628
3Malmo FF W1163222:821
4AIK W1163219:1521
5Eskilstuna United W115249:1017
6Kristianstad W1143418:2315
7Pitea W1142512:1414
8Vittsjo W1142511:1314
9IF Brommapojkarna W1140715:2212
10Vaxjo DFF W1132616:1811
11Rosengard W1123615:179
12Norrkoping W1116410:139
13Djurgarden W112276:208
14IK Uppsala Fotboll W1113712:246