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Hammarby W vs Vaxjo DFF W

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Women Hammarby IP, Stockholm
Hammarby W Logo

Hammarby W

5 - 0
FT
Vaxjo DFF W Logo

Vaxjo DFF W

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Nyhagen M.
Assist: Lennartsson S.
10' Event
Sorum E.
21' Event
Nyhagen M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Hammarby W in this Allsvenskan Women matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hammarby W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Hammarby W
20%
Draws
33%
Vaxjo DFF W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hammarby W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hammarby W lately — more wins on the board than Vaxjo DFF W.
  • Hammarby W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Allsvenskan Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Hammarby W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Hammarby W Clean Sheet 68%
Vaxjo DFF W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hammarby W Vaxjo DFF W
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 25 10
Draws 3 5
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 2.24 1.67
Goals Conceded 0.65 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Allsvenskan Women
Hammarby W vs Vaxjo DFF W
5:0
Mar 12, 2026 Svenska Cupen Women
Hammarby W vs Vaxjo DFF W
2:2
Sep 28, 2025 Allsvenskan Women
Vaxjo DFF W vs Hammarby W
0:7
Mar 23, 2025 Allsvenskan Women
Hammarby W vs Vaxjo DFF W
4:1
Nov 2, 2024 Allsvenskan Women
Vaxjo DFF W vs Hammarby W
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hammarby W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nyhagen M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sorum E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Vaxjo DFF W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hammarby W 95 / 100
Vaxjo DFF W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hammarby W Vaxjo DFF W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hammarby W scored in 91% of their last 34 games.

Vaxjo DFF W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 5.20 goals as a typical output.

Hammarby W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hammarby W VS Vaxjo DFF W
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hammarby W

(Home)
31 Jul
Hammarby W
5 : 0
Vaxjo DFF W
25 Jul
Norrkoping W
0 : 4
Hammarby W
17 Jul
Hammarby W
3 : 0
Koge W
14 Jul
Hammarby W
1 : 3
Nordsjaelland W
25 Jun
Pitea W
1 : 1
Hammarby W
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Vaxjo DFF W

(Away)
31 Jul
Hammarby W
5 : 0
Vaxjo DFF W
25 Jul
Vaxjo DFF W
0 : 4
Kristianstad W
24 Jun
Vaxjo DFF W
2 : 1
IF Brommapojkarna W
18 Jun
Norrkoping W
0 : 0
Vaxjo DFF W
13 Jun
Vaxjo DFF W
4 : 0
IK Uppsala Fotboll W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hammarby W 13 11 1 1 31:6 34
2 Hacken W 12 11 0 1 32:10 33
3 AIK W 13 7 3 3 20:18 24
4 Malmo FF W 13 6 4 3 22:9 22
5 Eskilstuna United W 13 6 2 5 10:16 20
6 Vittsjo W 13 5 3 5 13:14 18
7 Kristianstad W 13 5 3 5 21:24 18
8 Pitea W 12 4 3 5 12:14 15
9 IF Brommapojkarna W 13 5 0 8 17:24 15
10 Vaxjo DFF W 13 4 2 7 18:23 14
11 Norrkoping W 13 2 6 5 14:17 12
12 Djurgarden W 13 3 2 8 15:22 11
13 Rosengard W 13 2 4 7 16:20 10
14 IK Uppsala Fotboll W 13 1 3 9 12:36 6
Promotion - Champions League Women 2027/2028 (Qualification - Second stage)
Relegation - Allsvenskan Women (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Elitettan Women 2027 (Main)