Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hamrun vs NSI Runavik

Europe Europe

Conference League Victor Tedesco Stadium
Thu, Jul 16, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hamrun host NSI Runavik in the Conference League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Hamrun have averaged 1.5 scored and 1 conceded recently, against NSI Runavik's 2.38 scored and 1.38 conceded. Past meetings favor Hamrun slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 9, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.44 - 1.69) back NSI Runavik to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Hamrun
39%
Draws
31%
NSI Runavik
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • NSI Runavik carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Hamrun Clean Sheet 68%
NSI Runavik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hamrun NSI Runavik
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 16 19
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.5 2.38
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2026 Conference League
NSI Runavik vs Hamrun
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamrun 41 / 100
NSI Runavik 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hamrun NSI Runavik

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hamrun found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

NSI Runavik let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Hamrun went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hamrun VS NSI Runavik
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
83% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
17% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Rijeka-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Lugano-
TBD-
TBD-
Dukagjini-
FCSB-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Auda Riga-
Rakow Czestochowa-
TBD-
TBD-
Valletta-
Debrecen-
TBD-
Marsaxlokk0
Pyunik Yerevan3
IFK Goteborg-
TBD-
Caernarfon0
Levadia5
Varazdin-
TBD-
TBD-
Jablonec-
Bravo-
TBD-
Europa FC0
Shkendija Tetovo5
Shelbourne-
TBD-
Kalju1
Linfield0
Zimbru Chisinau-
TBD-
TBD-
Noah-
TBD-
TBD-
Dinamo Tirana0
FC Astana1
AF Elbasani1
BATE1
TBD-
Sion-
Motherwell-
TBD-
TBD-
HB Torshavn-
Vllaznia2
Malisheva1
TBD-
Hibernian-
Paks-
TBD-
TBD-
Panathinaikos-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ajax-
LNZ Cherkasy-
TBD-
TBD-
Gent-
Hapoel Tel Aviv-
TBD-
TBD-
Ludogorets-
Bohemians2
St Josephs0
Connahs Q.0
FC Ballkani0
Vaduz-
TBD-
Mornar Bar1
Atletic Escaldes2
NSI Runavik1
Hamrun1
TBD-
Koper-
Partizan-
TBD-
UNA Strassen1
La Fiorita0
Basaksehir-
TBD-
FK Sarajevo1
Inter Turku1
HJK-
TBD-
TBD-
Coleraine-
Glentoran1
RFS2
TBD-
TBD-
Decic0
FK Liepaja1
TBD-
Austria Vienna-
GAIS-
TBD-
TBD-
Nordsjaelland-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
GKS Katowice-
Dila Gori3
Virtus1
TBD-
Apollon Limassol-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Brann-
Valur-
TBD-
TBD-
Zrinjski-
Mondorf1
Dinamo Tbilisi2
Petrovac1
Zalgiris3
Dun. Streda-
TBD-
Velez Mostar1
Milsami1
Vikingur1
Stjarnan3
Differdange0
Ilves0
FK Panevezys-
TBD-
TBD-
Tobol-
Neftci Baku-
TBD-
Din. Minsk0
Sileks1
Zeleznicar Pancevo-
TBD-
TBD-
Braga-
Polissya Zhytomyr-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Copenhagen-
Penybont0
FC Santa Coloma1
TBD-
Rapid Vienna-
Alashkert1
Yelimay Semey1
TBD-
CFR Cluj-
FC Hegelmann1
Paide Linnameeskond1
Zira FK3
Torpedo Kutaisi0
Spartak Trnava-
TBD-
TBD-
CSKA 1948 Sofia-
AEK Larnaca-
TBD-
TBD-
Beitar Jerusalem-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Quarter-finals
Rijeka-
TBD-
Lugano-
Dukagjini-
FCSB-
FK Auda Riga-
Rakow Czestochowa-
Valletta-
Debrecen-
TBD-
IFK Goteborg-
TBD-
Varazdin-
Jablonec-
Bravo-
TBD-
Shelbourne-
TBD-
Zimbru Chisinau-
Noah-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sion-
Motherwell-
HB Torshavn-
TBD-
Hibernian-
Paks-
Panathinaikos-
TBD-
Ajax-
LNZ Cherkasy-
Gent-
Hapoel Tel Aviv-
Ludogorets-
TBD-
TBD-
Vaduz-
TBD-
TBD-
Koper-
Partizan-
TBD-
Basaksehir-
TBD-
HJK-
Coleraine-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Austria Vienna-
GAIS-
Nordsjaelland-
TBD-
GKS Katowice-
TBD-
Apollon Limassol-
TBD-
Brann-
Valur-
Zrinjski-
TBD-
TBD-
Dun. Streda-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Panevezys-
Tobol-
TBD-
TBD-
Zeleznicar Pancevo-
Braga-
Polissya Zhytomyr-
FC Copenhagen-
TBD-
Rapid Vienna-
TBD-
CFR Cluj-
TBD-
TBD-
Spartak Trnava-
CSKA 1948 Sofia-
AEK Larnaca-
Beitar Jerusalem-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-