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Haninge vs Smedby - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand Torvalla idrottsplats, Haninge
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Soder G.
62' Event
Dibba P.
64' Event
Rasmusson A.

AI Match Summary

Haninge in this Division 2 - Södra Svealand matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Haninge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Haninge
30%
Draws
16%
Smedby
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Haninge

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Haninge at 2.29 per game, Smedby at 2.
  • 16% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division 2 - Södra Svealand form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Haninge have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Haninge Clean Sheet 10%
Smedby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Haninge Smedby
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 14 14
Draws 4 7
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 2.29 2
Goals Conceded 2.29 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Haninge vs Smedby
2:1
Jun 21, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Smedby vs Haninge
1:4
Sep 14, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Haninge vs Smedby
5:0
May 19, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Smedby vs Haninge
0:2
Aug 19, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Smedby vs Haninge
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Haninge Compare

Top Goalscorer Soder G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dibba P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Smedby Compare

Top Goalscorer Rasmusson A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Haninge 30 / 100
Smedby 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Haninge Smedby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Smedby Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Haninge scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Smedby conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Haninge stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Haninge VS Smedby
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Haninge

(Home)
04 Oct
Orebro Syrianska
2 : 2
Haninge
27 Sept
Haninge
2 : 1
Smedby
20 Sept
Eker Orebro
4 : 5
Haninge
14 Sept
Haninge
0 : 2
Syrianska
10 Sept
Haninge
1 : 7
Djurgarden
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Smedby

(Away)
02 Oct
Smedby
1 : 1
Nykopings
27 Sept
Haninge
2 : 1
Smedby
19 Sept
Smedby
0 : 1
Fittja IF
12 Sept
Farsta
3 : 0
Smedby
05 Sept
Nacka FC
1 : 1
Smedby
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Farsta 25 15 4 6 51:27 49
2 Sleipner 24 13 6 5 49:36 45
3 Forward 24 13 5 6 45:29 44
4 Nykopings 24 13 4 7 39:23 43
5 Haninge 25 13 4 8 62:50 43
6 Ragsved 25 12 6 7 49:40 42
7 Smedby 25 10 6 9 44:37 36
8 Fittja IF 24 10 3 11 37:38 33
9 Karlslund 24 8 7 9 37:38 31
10 Orebro Syrianska 25 9 4 12 29:30 31
11 Nacka FC 25 8 3 14 31:49 27
12 Syrianska 25 7 5 13 39:54 26
13 Lindo FF 25 6 2 17 33:52 20
14 Eker Orebro 24 4 3 17 29:71 15
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Svealand (Relegation)