Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hanley Town vs Chester

England England

FA Cup 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Willoughby K.
71' Event
Hall K.
83' Event
Hall K.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-4, with Chester advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Hanley Town
20%
Draws
20%
Chester
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hanley Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Chester carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Hanley Town a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Chester arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Chester, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Chester have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Hanley Town Clean Sheet 20%
Chester Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hanley Town Chester
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 12 18
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.38 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.69 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2023 Club Friendly
Hanley Town vs Chester
0:2
Oct 4, 2022 FA Cup
Hanley Town vs Chester
0:4
Oct 1, 2022 FA Cup
Chester vs Hanley Town
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hanley Town Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Chester Compare

Top Goalscorer Willoughby K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hall K.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hanley Town 49 / 100
Chester 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hanley Town Chester

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hanley Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hanley Town's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Chester registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Chester let in goals in 53% of their last 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Hanley Town VS Chester
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hanley Town

(Home)
12 Sept
Bourne
3 : 2
Hanley Town
05 Sept
Hanley Town
2 : 1
Abbey Hulton
29 Aug
Hanley Town
2 : 0
Coleshill Town
30 Aug
Hanley Town
0 : 2
Stourbridge
05 Oct
Basford Utd.
3 : 2
Hanley Town
Page 1 of 6

Chester

(Away)
12 Sept
Buxton
3 : 1
Chester
08 Sept
Chester
0 : 1
Merthyr Town
05 Sept
Hebburn Town
1 : 1
Chester
31 Aug
Chester
0 : 1
Morecambe
29 Aug
Hereford
1 : 1
Chester
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Oldham -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Chester -
TBD -
Charnock Richard 3
Pontefract Collieries 4
Stourbridge 3
Hanley Town 4
Atherstone 3
Kimberley Miners Welfare 1
Cheshunt -
TBD -
Stortford 0
Neots 2
Kidderminster -
TBD -
Tamworth 6
Boldmere St Michaels 0
Stafford 0
Newcastle Town 2
Nantwich 0
FC Congleton Town 2
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
TBD -
Farsley -
King’s Lynn -
TBD -
Kempston 1
Bedford 2
Barwell 4
Highgate 1
TBD -
Kettering -
Stocksbridge 2
Atherton Collieries 1
Marine 2
Radcliffe 1
Ashton United 0
Ashington 3
TBD -
Bradford PA -
Clitheroe 3
Heaton Stannington 2
TBD -
Spennymoor -
Stalybridge 0
Lancaster 1
Bury AFC 2
North Shields 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
York City -
Shildon 2
Penistone Church 1
South Shields 3
Workington 2
Whitby 5
Bishop Auckland 0
Marske United 2
Runcorn Linnets 1
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
Scunthorpe -
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Basford Utd. 5
Romulus 0
Grantham Town 3
Rugby 4
Lichfield City 3
Stourport 2
TBD -
Boston United -
Rushall 1
Redditch 4
TBD -
Peterborough Sports -
Hemel Hempstead -
TBD -
Hertford Town 0
Royston Town 3
Scarborough Athletic -
TBD -
Dunston 3
City Of Liverpool 0
Witton Albion 0
United of Manchester 1
TBD -
Curzon Ashton -
Liversedge 2
Glossop North End 1
TBD -
Chorley -
Blyth Spartans -
TBD -
Guiseley 2
Avro 1
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wrexham -
Altrincham -
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TBD -
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Gateshead -
Anstey Nomads 3
Whitchurch Alport 1
Matlock 0
Ilkeston 2
Edgware Town 1
Grays 4
Dunstable Town 0
Shefford 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Chesterfield -
Mickleover 2
Alvechurch 3
Lye Town 1
Harborough 2
Leamington -
TBD -
Nuneaton 3
Belper Town 1
Hednesford 1
Long Eaton 3
Gainsborough 3
Loughborough Students 1
Brackley -
TBD -
Worksop 5
Worcester Raiders 0
Goole 0
Prescot Cables 1
Bamber Bridge 1
Whickham 0
Buxton -
TBD -
TBD -
Alfreton -
Warrington Rylands 0
Hyde 4
Morpeth 3
Warrington Town 4
Darlington FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Southport -
Notts County -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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Shepshed 1
Coalville Town 3
West Didsbury & Chorlton 0
Macclesfield 1
St. Albans -
TBD -
Bury Town 0
Sudbury 3
Canvey Island 5
Enfield Town 1
St Ives Town 4
Barking 0
Telford -
TBD -
Stone Old Alleynians 0
Chasetown 1
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Halifax -
Bromley -
TBD -
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Sheppey United 2
Lewes 10
Three Bridges 2
Erith Town 1
Hereford -
TBD -
Bromsgrove 4
Stamford 3
Torquay -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Bognor Regis 6
Cray Wanderers 2
TBD -
Hampton & Richmond -
Hamworthy United 0
Gosport Borough 4
Royal Wootton 2
Paulton Rovers 4
Yeovil -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
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Taunton Town -
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Cinderford Town 2
Laverstock & Ford 3
Walton & Hersham 3
Beaconsfield Town 2
Midhurst & Easebourne 0
Chatham 6
Maidenhead -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Slough Town -
TBD -
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Worthing FC -
Eastbourne Borough -
TBD -
Marlow 0
Uxbridge 1
Dorking Wanderers -
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Eastleigh -
Cray Valley 3
Hastings 0
Eastbourne Town 0
Hanwell Town 2
Ebbsfleet -
TBD -
TBD -
Dover Ath. -
Bath City -
TBD -
Roman Glass St George 0
Hartley Wintney 4
Phoenix Sports 4
Rusthall 1
Sevenoaks 2
Kingstonian 1
Woking -
TBD -
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Southend -
Dartford -
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East Grinstead Town 3
Beckenham Town 5
Holyport 0
Binfield 1
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Tonbridge -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Potton United 1
Hendon 5
Wingate & Finchley 1
Bowers & Pitsea 0
Herne Bay 2
Horsham FC 1
Ashford United 2
Hanworth Villa 1
Metropolitan Police 4
Corinthian 3
Corinthian-Casuals 1
Burgess Hill 2
Chippenham Town -
TBD -
Slimbridge 2
Sholing 5
Ashford Town 2
Westfield 4
Carshalton 5
VCD Athletic 1
Havant & Waterlooville -
TBD -
Wincanton Town 2
AFC Totton 9
Baffins Milton Rovers 1
Winchester City 5
TBD -
Weymouth -
Welling -
TBD -
Fisher 5
Spelthorne Sports 1
Maldon & Tiptree 2
Haringey Borough 1
Ipswich Wanderers 1
Hornchurch 3
Hitchin 0
Heybridge 3
TBD -
Braintree -
Poole Town 0
Salisbury 2
TBD -
Oxford City -
North Leigh 5
AFC Stoneham 3
Didcot 3
Plymouth Parkway 4
Yate 4
Aylesbury Vale 3
Frome Town 0
Tiverton 1
Chesham 5
Peacehaven & Telscombe 2
Bracknell Town 4
Harrow Borough 1
Cleethorpes 0
Stratford 4
TBD -
Banbury -
Berkhamsted Town 2
FC Witham Town 1
TBD -
Concord Rangers -
Boreham Wood -
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Wealdstone -
Barnet -
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Basingstoke 2
Weston-super-Mare 4
Blackfield & Langley 2
Shepton Mallet 3
Bishops Cleeve 3
Westbury United 1
Torpoint 1
Helston Athletic 2
Needham Market 3
Leiston 1
Lowestoft 0
Sheringham 1
Waltham Abbey 7
Buckhurst Hill 2
Brightlingsea 3
Mildenhall 0
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Maidstone -
Aveley 2
Potters 3
Romford 3
Hashtag 2
Chelmsford -
TBD -
Harlow 0
Kings Langley 2
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Aldershot -
Hungerford -
TBD -
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Gloucester City -
Merthyr Town 5
Truro 2
Larkhall 0
Cirencester 2
Dulwich Hamlet -
TBD -
Aylesbury United 0
Margate 1
Folkestone 3
North Greenford Utd. 1
Leatherhead 1
Chichester City 2
Willand Rovers 1
Swindon Supermarine 2
Wimborne 0
Dorchester 1
Farnborough -
TBD -
Hythe 0
Hayes & Yeading 2
Enfield FC 2
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1
Billericay 4
Leverstock Green 1
East Thurrock Utd 2
Biggleswade FC 1
Dereham 0
Biggleswade Town 1
Quarter-finals
Oldham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chester 2
Pontefract Collieries 0
Hanley Town 4
Atherstone 1
Cheshunt 3
Neots 1
Kidderminster 1
Tamworth 0
Newcastle Town 3
FC Congleton Town 4
AFC Fylde 4
Farsley 1
King’s Lynn 4
Bedford 1
Barwell 1
Kettering 4
Stocksbridge 2
Marine 1
Ashington 2
Bradford PA 1
Clitheroe 2
Spennymoor 0
Lancaster 4
Bury AFC 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
York City -
Shildon 0
South Shields 5
Whitby 0
Marske United 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Scunthorpe -
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Basford Utd. 2
Rugby 0
Lichfield City 0
Boston United 4
Redditch 2
Peterborough Sports 3
Hemel Hempstead 3
Royston Town 0
Scarborough Athletic 3
Dunston 2
United of Manchester 2
Curzon Ashton 3
Liversedge 1
Chorley 10
Blyth Spartans 2
Guiseley 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wrexham -
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
Anstey Nomads 5
Ilkeston 4
Grays 1
Shefford 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chesterfield -
Alvechurch 4
Harborough 0
Leamington 0
Nuneaton 1
Long Eaton 3
Gainsborough 5
Brackley 0
Worksop 2
Prescot Cables 1
Bamber Bridge 2
Buxton 2
Alfreton 1
Hyde 1
Warrington Town 0
Darlington FC 3
Southport 2
Notts County -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coalville Town 1
Macclesfield 0
St. Albans 2
Sudbury 3
Canvey Island 0
St Ives Town 3
Telford 2
Chasetown 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Halifax -
Bromley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lewes 1
Three Bridges 5
Hereford 1
Bromsgrove 0
Torquay -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bognor Regis 0
Hampton & Richmond 2
Gosport Borough 2
Paulton Rovers 3
Yeovil -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Taunton Town 1
Laverstock & Ford 0
Walton & Hersham 5
Chatham 3
Maidenhead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Slough Town 1
Worthing FC 3
Eastbourne Borough 2
Uxbridge 0
Dorking Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastleigh -
Cray Valley 1
Hanwell Town 2
Ebbsfleet 2
Dover Ath. 0
Bath City 3
Hartley Wintney 2
Phoenix Sports 0
Sevenoaks 1
Woking -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Southend -
Dartford 1
Beckenham Town 2
Binfield 4
Tonbridge 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Hendon 3
Wingate & Finchley 1
Herne Bay 2
Ashford United 0
Metropolitan Police 3
Burgess Hill 1
Chippenham Town 3
Sholing 0
Westfield 1
Carshalton 2
Havant & Waterlooville 1
AFC Totton 0
Winchester City 1
Weymouth 3
Welling 3
Fisher 0
Maldon & Tiptree 0
Hornchurch 3
Heybridge 2
Braintree 3
Salisbury 1
Oxford City 2
North Leigh 2
Plymouth Parkway 3
Yate 2
Tiverton 1
Chesham 2
Bracknell Town 5
Stratford 0
Banbury 1
Berkhamsted Town 2
Concord Rangers 0
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wealdstone -
Barnet -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Weston-super-Mare 1
Shepton Mallet 0
Bishops Cleeve 6
Helston Athletic 7
Needham Market 2
Sheringham 0
Waltham Abbey 2
Brightlingsea 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidstone -
Potters 1
Romford 2
Chelmsford 6
Kings Langley 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aldershot -
Hungerford 1
Gloucester City 3
Merthyr Town 3
Cirencester 2
Dulwich Hamlet 2
Margate 1
Folkestone 3
Chichester City 0
Swindon Supermarine 1
Dorchester 0
Farnborough 3
Hayes & Yeading 1
Enfield FC 0
Billericay 4
East Thurrock Utd 0
Biggleswade Town 3
Semi-finals
Oldham -
TBD -
Chester 4
Hanley Town 0
Cheshunt 1
Kidderminster 2
FC Congleton Town 2
AFC Fylde 6
King’s Lynn 6
Kettering 1
Stocksbridge 2
Ashington 5
Clitheroe 1
Bury AFC 3
TBD -
York City -
South Shields 5
Marske United 2
TBD -
Scunthorpe -
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
Basford Utd. 5
Boston United 4
Peterborough Sports 3
Hemel Hempstead 1
Scarborough Athletic 4
Curzon Ashton 5
Chorley 0
Blyth Spartans 1
TBD -
Wrexham -
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
Anstey Nomads 5
Shefford 0
TBD -
Chesterfield -
Alvechurch 4
Nuneaton 0
Gainsborough 0
Worksop 1
Bamber Bridge 0
Buxton 3
Hyde 1
Darlington FC 0
Notts County -
TBD -
Coalville Town 3
Sudbury 0
St Ives Town 3
Chasetown 1
TBD -
Halifax -
Bromley -
TBD -
Three Bridges 0
Hereford 3
Torquay -
TBD -
Hampton & Richmond 6
Paulton Rovers 1
Yeovil -
TBD -
Taunton Town 1
Walton & Hersham 0
Maidenhead -
TBD -
Worthing FC 1
Eastbourne Borough 2
Dorking Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastleigh -
Hanwell Town 1
Ebbsfleet 2
Bath City 0
Sevenoaks 1
Woking -
TBD -
TBD -
Southend -
Beckenham Town 5
Binfield 3
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Hendon 3
Herne Bay 2
Metropolitan Police 1
Chippenham Town 2
Carshalton 0
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Weymouth 3
Welling 0
Hornchurch 3
Braintree 0
Oxford City 4
Plymouth Parkway 2
Yate 0
Bracknell Town 3
Banbury 2
Berkhamsted Town 0
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
Wealdstone -
Barnet -
TBD -
Weston-super-Mare 7
Helston Athletic 2
Needham Market 2
Brightlingsea 0
TBD -
Maidstone -
Romford 0
Chelmsford 5
TBD -
Aldershot -
Gloucester City 0
Merthyr Town 1
Dulwich Hamlet 0
Folkestone 1
Swindon Supermarine 1
Farnborough 5
Billericay 3
Biggleswade Town 6
Final
Oldham 4
Chester 3
Kidderminster 2
AFC Fylde 4
King’s Lynn 3
Ashington 1
Bury AFC 1
York City 2
South Shields 1
Scunthorpe 0
Solihull Moors 1
Basford Utd. 0
Peterborough Sports 0
Curzon Ashton 1
Blyth Spartans 3
Wrexham 4
Altrincham 3
Gateshead 4
Anstey Nomads 0
Chesterfield 3
Alvechurch 3
Worksop 2
Buxton 2
Hyde 1
Notts County 2
Coalville Town 3
St Ives Town 0
Halifax 3
Bromley 1
Hereford 2
Torquay 4
Hampton & Richmond 3
Yeovil 0
Taunton Town 1
Maidenhead 2
Eastbourne Borough 1
Dorking Wanderers 1
Eastleigh 3
Ebbsfleet 2
Sevenoaks 0
Woking 2
Southend 1
Beckenham Town 0
Dagenham & Red. 7
Hendon 2
Chippenham Town 3
Havant & Waterlooville 1
Weymouth 2
Hornchurch 1
Oxford City 4
Bracknell Town 2
Banbury 1
Boreham Wood 5
Wealdstone 3
Barnet 3
Weston-super-Mare 0
Needham Market 1
Maidstone 0
Chelmsford 2
Aldershot 0
Merthyr Town 2
Folkestone 1
Farnborough 7
Biggleswade Town 0