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Hanley Town vs Chester Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Caton C.
84' Event
Bott A.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2023 game between Hanley Town and Chester finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chester.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Hanley Town
15%
Draws
46%
Chester
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chester

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Chester carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Chester have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Hanley Town Clean Sheet 16%
Chester Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hanley Town Chester
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 18
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.33 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.7 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2023 Club Friendly
Hanley Town vs Chester
0:2
Oct 4, 2022 FA Cup
Hanley Town vs Chester
0:4
Oct 1, 2022 FA Cup
Chester vs Hanley Town
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hanley Town Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Chester Compare

Top Goalscorer Caton C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bott A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hanley Town 31 / 100
Chester 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hanley Town Chester

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chester Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hanley Town found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Chester has conceded goals in 52% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Hanley Town stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hanley Town VS Chester
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.25
100% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hanley Town

(Home)
19 Sept
Spalding United
2 : 0
Hanley Town
12 Sept
Bourne
3 : 2
Hanley Town
05 Sept
Hanley Town
2 : 1
Abbey Hulton
29 Aug
Hanley Town
2 : 0
Coleshill Town
30 Aug
Hanley Town
0 : 2
Stourbridge
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Chester

(Away)
26 Sept
Chester
4 : 1
Worksop
19 Sept
Lower Breck
1 : 2
Chester
12 Sept
Buxton
3 : 1
Chester
08 Sept
Chester
0 : 1
Merthyr Town
05 Sept
Hebburn Town
1 : 1
Chester
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