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Hanley Town vs Sherwood Colliery

England England

FA Trophy 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hanley Town play Sherwood Colliery in the FA Trophy 2024/2025. Hanley Town are favorites here. Recently, Hanley Town averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. Sherwood Colliery averaged 1.17 goals scored and 3.17 conceded. In past meetings, Hanley Town won 1, Sherwood Colliery won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 21, 2024 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Hanley Town and 1.44 for Sherwood Colliery. This points to a Hanley Town double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Hanley Town
19%
Draws
20%
Sherwood Colliery
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Hanley Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence
  • Hanley Town picked up more points recently compared to Sherwood Colliery.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Hanley Town Clean Sheet 16%
Sherwood Colliery Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hanley Town Sherwood Colliery
Matches Played 26 6
Wins 10 1
Draws 5 1
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.31 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.73 3.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2024 FA Trophy
Hanley Town vs Sherwood Colliery
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hanley Town 58 / 100
Sherwood Colliery 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hanley Town Sherwood Colliery

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hanley Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Hanley Town & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.3%
1.89
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hanley Town attacking → ← attacking Sherwood Colliery

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hanley Town scored in 69% of their last 26 games.

Sherwood Colliery let in goals in 100% of their last 6 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Hanley Town went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Sherwood Colliery lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 4
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.00