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Hannover vs St. Pauli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

2. Bundesliga Heinz-von-Heiden-Arena, Hannover
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hannover host St. Pauli in the 2. Bundesliga. This one's hard to separate. St. Pauli have shipped 1.67 goals a game lately, while Hannover have conceded 1.11 and scored 2.25. Head-to-head, Hannover have won 1 to St. Pauli's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 10, 2024, ending 3:2. xG projections (1.88 - 1.25) back Hannover to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Hannover
35%
Draws
24%
St. Pauli
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hannover

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Hannover have won more games recently than St. Pauli.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular 2. Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Hannover Clean Sheet 19%
St. Pauli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hannover St. Pauli
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 16 8
Draws 8 10
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 2.25 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Hannover vs St. Pauli
3:2
Apr 21, 2024 2. Bundesliga
Hannover vs St. Pauli
1:2
Nov 10, 2023 2. Bundesliga
St. Pauli vs Hannover
0:0
Mar 24, 2023 Club Friendly
St. Pauli vs Hannover
2:0
Feb 5, 2023 2. Bundesliga
St. Pauli vs Hannover
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hannover 31 / 100
St. Pauli 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hannover St. Pauli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hannover Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hannover scored in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: St. Pauli conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Hannover has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hannover VS St. Pauli
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hannover

(Home)
03 Oct
Hannover
2 : 0
Verl
20 Sept
Hannover
2 : 1
Bochum
11 Sept
Nurnberg
2 : 1
Hannover
04 Sept
Hannover
2 : 2
Karlsruher
30 Aug
Darmstadt
0 : 1
Hannover
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St. Pauli

(Away)
03 Oct
St. Pauli
1 : 1
B. Monchengladbach
20 Sept
Energie Cottbus
1 : 1
St. Pauli
12 Sept
St. Pauli
1 : 0
Wolfsburg
04 Sept
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2
St. Pauli
30 Aug
St. Pauli
1 : 2
Kaiserslautern
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hertha Berlin 6 6 0 0 17:7 18
2 Nurnberg 6 5 1 0 16:6 16
3 Heidenheim 7 4 2 1 14:12 14
4 Kaiserslautern 7 3 3 1 6:4 12
5 Wolfsburg 6 3 2 1 15:8 11
6 Magdeburg 6 3 1 2 11:9 10
7 Energie Cottbus 6 2 2 2 14:13 8
8 Braunschweig 7 2 1 4 13:13 7
9 St. Pauli 6 1 4 1 8:8 7
10 Bochum 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
11 Hannover 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
12 VfL Osnabruck 6 2 1 3 9:12 7
13 Greuther Furth 6 1 3 2 9:11 6
14 Arminia Bielefeld 6 1 2 3 10:12 5
15 Karlsruher 6 1 2 3 6:12 5
16 Holstein Kiel 7 0 4 3 7:11 4
17 Dresden 6 1 1 4 8:14 4
18 Darmstadt 6 1 1 4 5:13 4
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)