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Hanoi FC vs Bac Ninh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 1 Hang Day Stadium, Hanoi
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
12:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hanoi FC host Bac Ninh in the V.League 1. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Hanoi FC at 1.8 goals for, 1.33 against; Bac Ninh at 1.79 for, 1.04 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 2.19, favoring Bac Ninh. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Hanoi FC
15%
Draws
78%
Bac Ninh
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bac Ninh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bac Ninh come out ahead of Hanoi FC on wins alone.
  • Bac Ninh are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Hanoi FC Clean Sheet 10%
Bac Ninh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hanoi FC Bac Ninh
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 15 18
Draws 4 5
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.8 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hanoi FC 10 / 100
Bac Ninh 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hanoi FC Bac Ninh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bac Ninh Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hanoi FC scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Bac Ninh's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Hanoi FC has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Bac Ninh's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Hanoi FC VS Bac Ninh
1.5 Goals Scored 2.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hanoi FC

(Home)
20 Sept
Hanoi FC
1 : 2
Da Nang
12 Sept
Hanoi FC
1 : 4
Song Lam Nghe An
05 Sept
Ho Chi Minh
3 : 1
Hanoi FC
07 Jun
Hanoi FC
1 : 1
Ho Chi Minh
31 May
Gia Lai
3 : 1
Hanoi FC
Page 1 of 6

Bac Ninh

(Away)
19 Sept
Long An
2 : 3
Bac Ninh
11 Sept
Bac Ninh
1 : 0
Ho Chi Minh
06 Sept
Song Lam Nghe An
1 : 0
Bac Ninh
26 Aug
Bac Ninh
2 : 1
Hung Yen
12 Jun
PVF-CAND
1 : 2
Bac Ninh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cong An Ha Noi 3 3 0 0 6:0 9
2 Phu Dong Ninh Binh 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
3 Song Lam Nghe An 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
4 Da Nang 2 1 0 1 5:3 3
5 Nam Dinh 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
6 Ho Chi Minh 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
7 Viettel 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
8 Thanh Hoa 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
9 Bac Ninh 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
10 Hai Phong 2 1 0 1 4:5 3
11 Hong Linh Ha Tinh 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
12 Hanoi FC 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
13 Gia Lai 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
14 Truong Tuoi Dong Nai 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - V.League 1 (Relegation)
Relegation - V.League 2 2027/2028 (Main)