Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hanover vs Lurgan Celtic

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2019/2020
Sat, Aug 17, 2019
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Irish Cup 2019/2020. Hanover are expected to control this from the start. Hanover have averaged 1.95 scored and 2.55 conceded recently, against Lurgan Celtic's 0.87 scored and 3.06 conceded. Head-to-head, Hanover have won 0 to Lurgan Celtic's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 17, 2019, ending 0:0. xG projections (2.88 - 1.56) back Hanover to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Hanover
15%
Draws
28%
Lurgan Celtic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hanover

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hanover come out ahead of Lurgan Celtic on wins alone.
  • Model gives Lurgan Celtic a 28% chance of winning this.
  • Hanover have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Hanover Clean Sheet 15%
Lurgan Celtic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hanover Lurgan Celtic
Matches Played 20 31
Wins 9 2
Draws 0 5
Losses 11 24
Goals Scored 1.95 0.87
Goals Conceded 2.55 3.06
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2019 Irish Cup
Hanover vs Lurgan Celtic
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hanover 19 / 100
Lurgan Celtic 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hanover Lurgan Celtic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lurgan Celtic let in goals in 96% of their last 28 matches.

Hanover found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (18 games).

Difficult form: Lurgan Celtic registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Hanover VS Lurgan Celtic
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 4.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Hanover

(Home)
22 Nov
Comber Rec
3 : 1
Hanover
05 Jul
Hanover
0 : 4
Portadown
04 Jan
Cliftonville
6 : 0
Hanover
30 Nov
Valley Rangers
1 : 5
Hanover
02 Nov
Hanover
3 : 2
Killyleagh Youth
Page 1 of 4

Lurgan Celtic

(Away)
27 Aug
Crusaders
:
Lurgan Celtic
17 Aug
Hanover
:
Lurgan Celtic
03 Nov
Lurgan Celtic
2 : 3
Portstewart
29 Sept
Lurgan Celtic
:
St. Patricks Young
28 Aug
Ballinamallard
4 : 1
Lurgan Celtic
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Knockbreda -
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Dollingstown -
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Lower Maze -
Lisburn Distillery -
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Ballynahinch United -
Strabane Athletic -
Maiden City 3
Bourneview Mill 2
TBD -
Tullycarnet -
Armagh 7
Bangor Old Boys 0
Tullyvallen Rangers 2
Dunloy 3
Warrenpoint -
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PSNI -
Ballymena -
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Tandragee -
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18th Newtownabbey Old Boys -
Comber Rec 2
Bangor Amateurs FC 0
Dromara 3
Coagh Utd 6
Crumlin Star 8
Kilmore Rec 0
Desertmartin 1
Trojans 3
Greenisland -
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Bloomfield 1
Foundry 3
Ballyclare -
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Harland & Wolff -
Larne -
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Portstewart -
TBD -
Dromore Amateurs 1
Belfast Celtic 9
Woodvale 5
Windmill 1
Derriaghy 1
Annagh 4
Tobermore -
TBD -
Barn 0
Oxford Sunnyside 3
Suffolk 3
St Luke's 0
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Larne Technical Old Boys -
Glenavon -
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Coleraine -
Newcastle 4
Grove 2
Dungiven 1
Banbridge 2
Dunmurry Rec 3
Rosemount Rec 2
Holywood 1
Newbuildings 4
Lurgan Town Boys 3
Iveagh Utd 1
Abbey Villa 1
St. James' Swifts 4
Ballymacash 3
St Oliver Plunkett 2
TBD -
Dunmurry Y.M. -
Ballymoney -
TBD -
St. Marys 1
East Belfast 3
Newtowne FC -
Drumaness -
Newington FC 5
Cookstown Youth 0
Ardstraw 3
Fivemiletown 2
Ards Rangers 1
Wakehurst 3
Islandmagee -
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Shorts -
Institute -
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Dungannon -
Newry City -
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Limavady 3
Ballynure Old Boys 0
TBD -
Immaculata -
Aquinas -
TBD -
Seapatrick 0
Craigavon City 5
Banbridge Rangers 2
Saintfield 0
Ballynahinch Olympic 2
Bangor FC 3
Moneyslane FC 2
Malachians 1
Markethill 1
Mossley FC 4
Cliftonville -
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Glebe 3
Cookstown RBL 2
Laurelvale 1
Chimney 5
Richhill -
Ballywalter Recreation -
TBD -
Valley Rangers -
Hanover -
Lurgan Celtic -
TBD -
Oxford Stars -
Killyleagh Youth 1
Rosario Youth 0
Rectory Rangers 0
Downshire Y.M. 2
Loughgall -
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Brantwood -
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Colin Valley 0
Moyola 11
Crewe -
Donegal -
Bryansburn 1
Crumlin United 3
Shankill -
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Lisburn Rangers -
Rathfriland Rangers -
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Sirocco 2
Seagoe 3
Queens University -
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Portadown -
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Carrick Rangers -
Crusaders -
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Dundela -
1/128-finals
Knockbreda -
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Dergview -
Ballinamallard -
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Dollingstown 5
Lower Maze 0
Lisburn Distillery 3
Strabane Athletic 2
Maiden City 1
Tullycarnet 3
Armagh 2
Dunloy 1
Warrenpoint -
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PSNI -
Ballymena -
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Tandragee 5
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 7
Comber Rec 2
Coagh Utd 4
Crumlin Star -
Trojans -
Greenisland 2
Foundry 0
Ballyclare -
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Harland & Wolff -
Larne -
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Portstewart 0
Belfast Celtic 1
Woodvale 1
Annagh 7
Tobermore 7
Oxford Sunnyside 1
Suffolk 1
Larne Technical Old Boys 4
Glenavon -
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Coleraine -
Newcastle 0
Banbridge 5
Dunmurry Rec 3
Newbuildings 2
Lurgan Town Boys 0
St. James' Swifts 4
Ballymacash 2
Dunmurry Y.M. 1
Ballymoney 2
East Belfast 3
Newtowne FC 0
Newington FC 2
Ardstraw 4
Wakehurst 1
Islandmagee 5
Shorts 2
Institute -
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Dungannon -
Newry City -
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Limavady 2
Immaculata 0
Aquinas 2
Craigavon City 1
Banbridge Rangers 0
Bangor FC 3
Moneyslane FC 9
Mossley FC 0
Cliftonville -
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Glebe 1
Chimney 2
Richhill 0
Valley Rangers 3
Hanover -
Oxford Stars -
Killyleagh Youth 1
Downshire Y.M. 0
Loughgall -
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Brantwood 4
Moyola 3
Crewe 3
Crumlin United 4
Shankill 1
Lisburn Rangers 4
Rathfriland Rangers 4
Seagoe 2
Queens University -
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Linfield -
Glentoran -
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Portadown -
Ards -
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Carrick Rangers -
Crusaders -
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Dundela -
1/64-finals
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dollingstown 2
Lisburn Distillery 1
Tullycarnet 4
Armagh 3
Warrenpoint -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 2
Coagh Utd 3
Crumlin Star 1
Greenisland 0
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Belfast Celtic 3
Annagh 1
Tobermore 1
Larne Technical Old Boys 3
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Banbridge 2
Dunmurry Rec 1
St. James' Swifts 0
Ballymacash 4
East Belfast 3
Newington FC 0
Ardstraw 1
Islandmagee 2
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Newry City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady 3
Aquinas 0
Bangor FC 5
Moneyslane FC 1
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chimney 0
Valley Rangers 3
Hanover 3
Killyleagh Youth 2
Loughgall -
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TBD -
TBD -
Brantwood 1
Crumlin United 0
Lisburn Rangers 0
Rathfriland Rangers 3
Queens University -
TBD -
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Linfield -
Glentoran -
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Portadown -
Ards -
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Carrick Rangers -
Crusaders -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
1/32-finals
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
Dollingstown 6
Tullycarnet 0
Warrenpoint -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
Ballymena -
TBD -
Coagh Utd 0
Crumlin Star 1
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Larne -
TBD -
Belfast Celtic 2
Larne Technical Old Boys 1
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Banbridge 3
Ballymacash 2
East Belfast 7
Islandmagee 1
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Newry City -
TBD -
Limavady 1
Bangor FC 3
Cliftonville -
TBD -
Valley Rangers 1
Hanover 5
Loughgall -
TBD -
Brantwood 2
Rathfriland Rangers 5
Queens University -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
Portadown -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
1/16-finals
Knockbreda 3
Dergview 2
Ballinamallard 1
Dollingstown 0
Warrenpoint 3
PSNI 1
Ballymena 2
Crumlin Star 0
Ballyclare 2
Harland & Wolff 1
Larne 8
Belfast Celtic 0
Glenavon 0
Coleraine 2
Banbridge 3
East Belfast 2
Institute 2
Dungannon 3
Newry City 3
Bangor FC 1
Cliftonville 6
Hanover 0
Loughgall 1
Rathfriland Rangers 2
Queens University 2
Linfield 1
Glentoran 3
Portadown 2
Ards 1
Carrick Rangers 3
Crusaders 3
Dundela 0
1/8-finals
Knockbreda 2
Ballinamallard 5
Warrenpoint 1
Ballymena 2
Ballyclare 0
Larne 1
Coleraine 3
Banbridge 0
Dungannon 4
Newry City 2
Cliftonville 3
Rathfriland Rangers 1
Queens University 2
Glentoran 3
Carrick Rangers 1
Crusaders 5
Quarter-finals
Ballinamallard 0
Ballymena 2
Larne 2
Coleraine 3
Dungannon 1
Cliftonville 2
Glentoran 2
Crusaders 1
Semi-finals
Ballymena 2
Coleraine 1
Cliftonville 1
Glentoran 2
Final
Ballymena 1
Glentoran 2