Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hansa Rostock vs Ingolstadt

Germany Germany

3. Liga 2025/2026 Ostseestadion
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hansa Rostock play Ingolstadt in the 3. Liga 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Hansa Rostock averaged 3.88 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. Ingolstadt averaged 2.25 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Hansa Rostock won 1, Ingolstadt won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jan 31, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.69 for Hansa Rostock and 2.00 for Ingolstadt. This points to a Hansa Rostock double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Hansa Rostock
6%
Draws
4%
Ingolstadt
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Hansa Rostock

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Hansa Rostock has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Ingolstadt.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Hansa Rostock.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in 3. Liga 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Hansa Rostock Clean Sheet 10%
Ingolstadt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hansa Rostock Ingolstadt
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 12
Draws 8 5
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 3.88 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 3.88 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 3. Liga
Hansa Rostock vs Ingolstadt
0:3
Aug 24, 2025 3. Liga
Ingolstadt vs Hansa Rostock
1:1
Mar 8, 2025 3. Liga
Hansa Rostock vs Ingolstadt
2:0
Sep 29, 2024 3. Liga
Ingolstadt vs Hansa Rostock
2:1
May 7, 2022 2. Bundesliga
Ingolstadt vs Hansa Rostock
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hansa Rostock Compare

Avg xG / game 2.98
Avg xA / game 1.94

Ingolstadt Compare

Top Goalscorer Costly M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Besuschkow M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hansa Rostock 83 / 100
Ingolstadt 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hansa Rostock Ingolstadt

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hansa Rostock scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Ingolstadt let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Hansa Rostock went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Ingolstadt lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hansa Rostock VS Ingolstadt
3.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1VfL Osnabruck38248666:3480
2Energie Cottbus38219872:5172
3RW Essen382010878:6670
4Duisburg381911866:4968
5Hansa Rostock381813774:4967
6Verl3818101082:4864
7Alemannia Aachen381971276:5764
8Munich 18603815111254:5356
9Wehen381581554:5253
10Mannheim381571659:7252
11FC Viktoria Koln381561751:5351
12Ingolstadt3813101565:5649
13Regensburg381471754:5849
14VfB Stuttgart II381371857:6946
15Saarbrucken3810141451:5744
16Hoffenheim II381271965:7143
17TSV Havelse38982157:8935
18Aue387131851:7034
19Ulm38962349:7833
201. FC Schweinfurt38562738:8721