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Hantharwady United vs Dagon Port Prediction & H2H Stats

Myanmar Myanmar

National League 2025/2026 Thiha Dipa, Thanlyin
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Aung Than Toe
23' Event
Cantona A. E.
34' Event
Cantona A. E.

AI Match Summary

Hantharwady United in this National League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hantharwady United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Hantharwady United
30%
Draws
58%
Dagon Port
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dagon Port

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Hantharwady United have won more games recently than Dagon Port.
  • Model gives Dagon Port a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Hantharwady United here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Hantharwady United Clean Sheet 11%
Dagon Port Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hantharwady United Dagon Port
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 10 10
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.43 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.47 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2026 National League
Dagon Port vs Hantharwady United
1:4
Sep 12, 2025 National League
Hantharwady United vs Dagon Port
5:4
Jan 28, 2025 National League
Dagon Port vs Hantharwady United
1:2
Jul 7, 2024 National League
Hantharwady United vs Dagon Port
4:3
May 3, 2024 MNL League Cup
Dagon Port vs Hantharwady United
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hantharwady United Compare

Top Goalscorer Myat Thu Aung
3 Goals
Assists Leader Aung Than Toe
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Dagon Port Compare

Top Goalscorer Cantona A. E.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Min Htwe La
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hantharwady United 10 / 100
Dagon Port 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hantharwady United Dagon Port

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dagon Port Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Dagon Port conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Hantharwady United scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Hantharwady United remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hantharwady United VS Dagon Port
0.88 Goals Scored 2.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Hantharwady United

(Home)
05 Sept
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Hantharwady United
29 Aug
Dagon
2 : 0
Hantharwady United
18 Mar
Shan United
1 : 0
Hantharwady United
11 Mar
Hantharwady United
0 : 0
Rakhine United
04 Mar
Hantharwady United
0 : 4
Yangon United
Page 1 of 6

Dagon Port

(Away)
16 Mar
Dagon Port
1 : 0
Yadanarbon
11 Mar
Ispe
2 : 1
Dagon Port
06 Mar
Dagon Port
5 : 3
Rakhine United
26 Feb
Dagon Port
5 : 2
Yarmanya United
20 Feb
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Dagon Port
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 22 18 4 0 66:10 58
2 Yangon United 22 18 3 1 70:7 57
3 Dagon 22 11 6 5 39:30 39
4 Ispe 22 9 4 9 35:46 31
5 Hantharwady United 22 7 7 8 32:34 28
6 Mahar United 22 7 7 8 39:44 28
7 Yadanarbon 22 7 5 10 38:38 26
8 Ayeyawady 22 7 5 10 25:26 26
9 Thitsar Arman 22 5 9 8 36:38 24
10 Dagon Port 22 5 7 10 44:62 22
11 Rakhine United 22 5 4 13 28:54 19
12 Yarmanya United 22 1 3 18 17:80 6
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