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Hantharwady United vs Ispe

Myanmar Myanmar

National League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Kaung Myat Nyein
90' Event
Thet A. M.

AI Match Summary

The National League 2025/2026 game between Hantharwady United and Ispe finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Hantharwady United
20%
Draws
60%
Ispe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ispe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Ispe carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Hantharwady United's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular National League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Hantharwady United Clean Sheet 19%
Ispe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hantharwady United Ispe
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 10 6
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.43 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.47 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2026 National League
Hantharwady United vs Ispe
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 National League
Ispe vs Hantharwady United
2:2
May 17, 2025 MNL League Cup
Ispe vs Hantharwady United
0:3
Feb 16, 2025 National League
Ispe vs Hantharwady United
0:0
Aug 25, 2024 National League
Hantharwady United vs Ispe
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hantharwady United Compare

Top Goalscorer Thet A. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Ispe Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaung Myat Nyein
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hantharwady United 36 / 100
Ispe 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hantharwady United Ispe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ispe conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Difficult form: Ispe registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Hantharwady United's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Hantharwady United VS Ispe
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hantharwady United

(Home)
05 Sept
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Hantharwady United
29 Aug
Dagon
2 : 0
Hantharwady United
18 Mar
Shan United
1 : 0
Hantharwady United
11 Mar
Hantharwady United
0 : 0
Rakhine United
04 Mar
Hantharwady United
0 : 4
Yangon United
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Ispe

(Away)
07 Sept
Ispe
2 : 4
Mahar United
29 Aug
Ayeyawady
2 : 1
Ispe
16 Mar
Rakhine United
1 : 2
Ispe
11 Mar
Ispe
2 : 1
Dagon Port
04 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 1
Ispe
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 22 18 4 0 66:10 58
2 Yangon United 22 18 3 1 70:7 57
3 Dagon 22 11 6 5 39:30 39
4 Ispe 22 9 4 9 35:46 31
5 Hantharwady United 22 7 7 8 32:34 28
6 Mahar United 22 7 7 8 39:44 28
7 Yadanarbon 22 7 5 10 38:38 26
8 Ayeyawady 22 7 5 10 25:26 26
9 Thitsar Arman 22 5 9 8 36:38 24
10 Dagon Port 22 5 7 10 44:62 22
11 Rakhine United 22 5 4 13 28:54 19
12 Yarmanya United 22 1 3 18 17:80 6
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