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Hantharwady United vs Yadanarbon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Myanmar Myanmar

National League
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
09:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hantharwady United host Yadanarbon in the National League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Yadanarbon have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Hantharwady United have conceded 1.31 and scored 1.53. Head-to-head, Hantharwady United have won 4 to Yadanarbon's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 24, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 1.00, favoring Hantharwady United. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Hantharwady United
30%
Draws
54%
Yadanarbon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Yadanarbon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Hantharwady United haven't matched Yadanarbon's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Yadanarbon's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Hantharwady United have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Hantharwady United Clean Sheet 20%
Yadanarbon Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hantharwady United Yadanarbon
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 12 13
Draws 10 7
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.53 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2026 National League
Hantharwady United vs Yadanarbon
0:1
Jan 7, 2026 National League
Yadanarbon vs Hantharwady United
1:4
Jan 12, 2025 National League
Yadanarbon vs Hantharwady United
1:2
Jul 26, 2024 National League
Hantharwady United vs Yadanarbon
1:0
Oct 28, 2023 National League
Yadanarbon vs Hantharwady United
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hantharwady United 20 / 100
Yadanarbon 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hantharwady United Yadanarbon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yadanarbon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hantharwady United scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

Yadanarbon has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Hantharwady United has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hantharwady United VS Yadanarbon
0.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hantharwady United

(Home)
05 Sept
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Hantharwady United
29 Aug
Dagon
2 : 0
Hantharwady United
18 Mar
Shan United
1 : 0
Hantharwady United
11 Mar
Hantharwady United
0 : 0
Rakhine United
04 Mar
Hantharwady United
0 : 4
Yangon United
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Yadanarbon

(Away)
04 Sept
Yangon Royals
0 : 0
Yadanarbon
28 Aug
Chinland
1 : 2
Yadanarbon
16 Mar
Dagon Port
1 : 0
Yadanarbon
10 Mar
Yadanarbon
2 : 3
Yangon United
05 Mar
Yadanarbon
2 : 1
Ayeyawady
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dagon 3 2 1 0 9:2 7
2 Yangon United 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
3 Shan United 2 1 1 0 6:2 4
4 Yadanarbon 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Mahar United 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
6 Ayeyawady 2 1 0 1 2:6 3
7 Thitsar Arman 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
8 Yangon Royals 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
9 Hantharwady United 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
10 Ispe 3 0 1 2 5:8 1
11 Myawady 2 0 1 1 2:6 1
12 Chinland 3 0 1 2 3:8 1
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2027/2028 (Main)