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Hanwell Town vs Basingstoke

England England

Southern League Premier South
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Bradbury H.
(Penalty)
41' Event
O'Loughlin J.
59' Event
Bradbury H.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier South game between Hanwell Town and Basingstoke finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hanwell Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Hanwell Town
30%
Draws
39%
Basingstoke
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Basingstoke

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Basingstoke haven't matched Hanwell Town's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Hanwell Town's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Southern League Premier South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Hanwell Town Clean Sheet 20%
Basingstoke Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hanwell Town Basingstoke
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.32 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Hanwell Town vs Basingstoke
2:1
Apr 25, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Hanwell Town vs Basingstoke
2:1
Jan 6, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Basingstoke vs Hanwell Town
3:2
Jan 25, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Basingstoke vs Hanwell Town
3:4
Oct 15, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Hanwell Town vs Basingstoke
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hanwell Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Bradbury H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Basingstoke Compare

Top Goalscorer O'Loughlin J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hanwell Town 42 / 100
Basingstoke 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hanwell Town Basingstoke

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Basingstoke's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Hanwell Town's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Hanwell Town went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hanwell Town VS Basingstoke
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hanwell Town

(Home)
12 Sept
Frome Town
2 : 2
Hanwell Town
04 Sept
Flackwell Heath
0 : 1
Hanwell Town
31 Aug
Berkhamsted Town
1 : 0
Hanwell Town
29 Aug
Hanwell Town
0 : 2
Chichester City
22 Aug
Gloucester City
1 : 0
Hanwell Town
Page 1 of 6

Basingstoke

(Away)
12 Sept
Gloucester City
1 : 1
Basingstoke
08 Sept
AFC Stoneham
1 : 0
Basingstoke
05 Sept
Basingstoke
0 : 0
AFC Stoneham
31 Aug
Basingstoke
2 : 1
Bracknell Town
29 Aug
Taunton Town
4 : 3
Basingstoke
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uxbridge 8 5 2 1 17:7 17
2 Plymouth Parkway 7 5 1 1 20:7 16
3 Chertsey Town 7 4 1 2 17:10 13
4 Hanworth Villa 7 4 1 2 13:6 13
5 Frome Town 7 4 1 2 12:6 13
6 Berkhamsted Town 8 4 1 3 10:10 13
7 Taunton Town 7 4 0 3 20:17 12
8 Chichester City 7 4 0 3 11:12 12
9 Poole Town 7 4 0 3 8:9 12
10 Bath City 7 3 2 2 8:6 11
11 Yate 7 3 2 2 10:11 11
12 Gosport Borough 7 3 1 3 10:8 10
13 Evesham 7 3 1 3 11:14 10
14 Wimborne 7 2 3 2 6:4 9
15 Basingstoke 7 2 2 3 12:13 8
16 Sholing 7 2 1 4 7:12 7
17 Chippenham Town 7 2 1 4 7:14 7
18 Bracknell Town 7 2 1 4 8:16 7
19 Gloucester City 7 1 3 3 9:11 6
20 Hanwell Town 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
21 Havant & Waterlooville 7 1 1 5 7:13 4
22 Malvern Town 7 0 2 5 7:21 2
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)