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Hanworth Villa vs Evesham Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

Southern League Premier South
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Harding M.
(Penalty)
23' Event
Liggett B.
(Penalty)
40' Event
Bolton E.

AI Match Summary

Hanworth Villa in this Southern League Premier South matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hanworth Villa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Hanworth Villa
15%
Draws
39%
Evesham
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hanworth Villa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Hanworth Villa have won more games recently than Evesham.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Hanworth Villa taking it.
  • Regular Southern League Premier South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Hanworth Villa Clean Sheet 20%
Evesham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hanworth Villa Evesham
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 17 10
Draws 3 7
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 2.11 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Hanworth Villa vs Evesham
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hanworth Villa Compare

Top Goalscorer Bolton E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Harding M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Evesham Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hanworth Villa 85 / 100
Evesham 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hanworth Villa Evesham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hanworth Villa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Hanworth Villa scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Evesham's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Hanworth Villa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hanworth Villa VS Evesham
3.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hanworth Villa

(Home)
29 Sept
Hanworth Villa
2 : 1
Chichester City
26 Sept
Hanworth Villa
3 : 2
Stortford
22 Sept
Berkhamsted Town
1 : 2
Hanworth Villa
19 Sept
Pagham
0 : 6
Hanworth Villa
12 Sept
Hanworth Villa
2 : 3
Yate
Page 1 of 6

Evesham

(Away)
29 Sept
Evesham
2 : 0
Chippenham Town
26 Sept
Evesham
3 : 1
Stratford
19 Sept
Redditch
3 : 0
Evesham
12 Sept
Evesham
0 : 0
Berkhamsted Town
05 Sept
Belper Town
0 : 3
Evesham
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plymouth Parkway 9 6 2 1 23:8 20
2 Uxbridge 9 6 2 1 19:8 20
3 Hanworth Villa 9 6 1 2 17:8 19
4 Bath City 9 5 2 2 13:8 17
5 Poole Town 8 5 0 3 11:10 15
6 Chertsey Town 9 4 2 3 20:15 14
7 Frome Town 9 4 2 3 14:10 14
8 Taunton Town 9 4 1 4 23:22 13
9 Evesham 8 4 1 3 13:14 13
10 Chichester City 9 4 1 4 14:16 13
11 Berkhamsted Town 10 4 1 5 11:14 13
12 Wimborne 8 3 3 2 10:4 12
13 Gosport Borough 9 3 3 3 12:10 12
14 Yate 8 3 2 3 10:15 11
15 Bracknell Town 9 3 2 4 11:18 11
16 Sholing 8 3 1 4 9:12 10
17 Basingstoke 9 2 3 4 14:16 9
18 Hanwell Town 8 1 4 3 7:10 7
19 Gloucester City 9 1 4 4 12:17 7
20 Chippenham Town 8 2 1 5 7:16 7
21 Havant & Waterlooville 9 1 2 6 9:16 5
22 Malvern Town 9 1 2 6 13:25 5
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
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Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)