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Hapoel Afula vs H. Ironi Rishon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Leumit League
Hapoel Afula Logo

Hapoel Afula

2 - 2
FT
H. Ironi Rishon Logo

H. Ironi Rishon

Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Tzaadon O.
25' Event
Twizer R.
52' Event
Chane L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Leumit League matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Hapoel Afula
35%
Draws
40%
H. Ironi Rishon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: H. Ironi Rishon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Hapoel Afula have won more games recently than H. Ironi Rishon.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Hapoel Afula Clean Sheet 15%
H. Ironi Rishon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Afula H. Ironi Rishon
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 9 8
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.45 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2026 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs H. Ironi Rishon
2:2
Jan 2, 2026 Leumit League
H. Ironi Rishon vs Hapoel Afula
1:1
Sep 1, 2025 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs H. Ironi Rishon
0:3
Feb 4, 2025 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs H. Ironi Rishon
0:1
Oct 6, 2024 Leumit League
H. Ironi Rishon vs Hapoel Afula
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Afula Compare

Top Goalscorer Twizer R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shemesh N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

H. Ironi Rishon Compare

Top Goalscorer Tzaadon O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chane L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Afula 31 / 100
H. Ironi Rishon 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Afula H. Ironi Rishon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H. Ironi Rishon has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Hapoel Afula scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Hapoel Afula went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Afula VS H. Ironi Rishon
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Afula

(Home)
01 Oct
Hapoel Afula
2 : 2
H. Ironi Rishon
24 Sept
Hapoel Akko
0 : 3
Hapoel Afula
17 Sept
Hapoel Afula
3 : 3
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
10 Sept
Maccabi Bnei Raina
4 : 2
Hapoel Afula
06 Sept
Hapoel Afula
0 : 1
Maccabi Jaffa
Page 1 of 6

H. Ironi Rishon

(Away)
01 Oct
Hapoel Afula
2 : 2
H. Ironi Rishon
24 Sept
H. Ironi Rishon
1 : 0
M. Nazareth
17 Sept
SC Ashdod
3 : 2
H. Ironi Rishon
10 Sept
H. Ironi Rishon
4 : 2
Kiryat Yam
07 Sept
Yehuda
0 : 0
H. Ironi Rishon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Ashdod 8 7 0 1 18:6 21
2 Yehuda 8 6 2 0 19:7 20
3 H. Ironi Rishon 8 5 2 1 15:9 17
4 Kiryat Yam 8 5 0 3 23:13 15
5 H. Raanana 8 5 0 3 19:11 15
6 Hapoel Afula 8 4 2 2 16:12 14
7 Hapoel Kfar Shalem 8 4 2 2 17:17 14
8 MS Kafr Qasim 8 4 1 3 12:8 13
9 Maccabi Bnei Raina 8 4 0 4 13:13 12
10 Kiryat Gat 8 2 2 4 7:9 8
11 Ironi Modiin 8 2 2 4 12:15 8
12 M. Herzliya 8 2 2 4 8:11 8
13 M. Nazareth 8 2 1 5 8:12 7
14 Maccabi Jaffa 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
15 Hapoel Kfar Saba 8 2 0 6 9:20 6
16 Hapoel Akko 8 0 0 8 0:23 0
Promotion - Leumit League (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Leumit League (Relegation Group)