Sport Picks

Israel

Leumit League 2025/2026

H. Raanana

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Hapoel Afula play H. Raanana in the Leumit League 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Hapoel Afula averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. H. Raanana averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Hapoel Afula won 0, H. Raanana won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on May 4, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.75 for Hapoel Afula and 1.19 for H. Raanana. This points to a H. Raanana double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

Hapoel Afula

35%

Draws

33%

H. Raanana

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: H. Raanana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Hapoel Afula picked up more points recently compared to H. Raanana.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.75 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 68%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 23%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

Hapoel Afula Clean Sheet 20%

H. Raanana Clean Sheet 19%

First Half Goal 61%

Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Hapoel Afula	H. Raanana
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	11	12
Draws	9	10
Losses	10	8
Goals Scored	1.2	1.3
Goals Conceded	1.43	1.03
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Leumit League

Hapoel Afula vs H. Raanana

Possession: 53% - 41% Cards: 3 - 1

0:0

Apr 10, 2026 Leumit League

H. Raanana vs Hapoel Afula

Possession: 44% - 47% Cards: 1 - 1

1:1

Nov 28, 2025 Leumit League

Hapoel Afula vs H. Raanana

Possession: 55% - 49% Cards: 3 - 3

0:2

Apr 14, 2025 Leumit League

Hapoel Afula vs H. Raanana

Possession: 59% - 57% Cards: 3 - 4

0:0

Feb 21, 2025 Leumit League

H. Raanana vs Hapoel Afula

Possession: 57% - 58% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Afula 33 / 100

H. Raanana 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Hapoel Afula H. Raanana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: H. Raanana or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +33.4%

4.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +18.9%

3.13

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hapoel Afula attacking → ← attacking H. Raanana

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Afula scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

H. Raanana let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Hapoel Afula went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

H. Raanana lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 46

0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75