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Hapoel Afula vs H. Raanana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Leumit League
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Khalaila A.
12' Event
Rabinovich R.
18' Event
Elimelech E.

AI Match Summary

The Leumit League game between Hapoel Afula and H. Raanana finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hapoel Afula.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Hapoel Afula
20%
Draws
42%
H. Raanana
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: H. Raanana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • H. Raanana's 1.6 goals per match outpaces what Hapoel Afula have produced (1.45).
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Leumit League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Hapoel Afula Clean Sheet 10%
H. Raanana Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Afula H. Raanana
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 8 8
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.45 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs H. Raanana
3:2
May 4, 2026 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs H. Raanana
0:0
Apr 10, 2026 Leumit League
H. Raanana vs Hapoel Afula
1:1
Nov 28, 2025 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs H. Raanana
0:2
Apr 14, 2025 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs H. Raanana
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Afula Compare

Top Goalscorer Khalaila A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rabinovich R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

H. Raanana Compare

Top Goalscorer Michael P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Afula 30 / 100
H. Raanana 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Afula H. Raanana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick H. Raanana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: H. Raanana conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Hapoel Afula scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Hapoel Afula has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Afula VS H. Raanana
2.13 Goals Scored 2.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Afula

(Home)
09 Oct
Ironi Modiin
1 : 2
Hapoel Afula
01 Oct
Hapoel Afula
2 : 2
H. Ironi Rishon
24 Sept
Hapoel Akko
0 : 3
Hapoel Afula
17 Sept
Hapoel Afula
3 : 3
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
10 Sept
Maccabi Bnei Raina
4 : 2
Hapoel Afula
Page 1 of 6

H. Raanana

(Away)
01 Oct
H. Raanana
1 : 2
MS Kafr Qasim
28 Sept
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1 : 2
H. Raanana
17 Sept
H. Raanana
0 : 1
Kiryat Gat
10 Sept
Maccabi Jaffa
1 : 3
H. Raanana
06 Sept
H. Raanana
6 : 1
Hapoel Kfar Saba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yehuda 9 7 2 0 20:7 23
2 SC Ashdod 8 7 0 1 18:6 21
3 H. Ironi Rishon 8 5 2 1 15:9 17
4 Hapoel Afula 9 5 2 2 18:13 17
5 Kiryat Yam 9 5 1 3 25:15 16
6 H. Raanana 8 5 0 3 19:11 15
7 Hapoel Kfar Shalem 8 4 2 2 17:17 14
8 MS Kafr Qasim 9 4 1 4 12:9 13
9 Maccabi Bnei Raina 9 4 1 4 13:13 13
10 M. Nazareth 9 3 1 5 10:13 10
11 Kiryat Gat 9 2 3 4 9:11 9
12 Ironi Modiin 9 2 2 5 13:17 8
13 M. Herzliya 9 2 2 5 9:13 8
14 Maccabi Jaffa 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
15 Hapoel Kfar Saba 8 2 0 6 9:20 6
16 Hapoel Akko 9 0 1 8 0:23 1
Promotion - Leumit League (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Leumit League (Relegation Group)