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Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Leumit League
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Brik Y.
(Penalty)
43' Event
Beit Yaakov M.
45' Event
Beit Yaakov M.

AI Match Summary

The Leumit League game between Hapoel Afula and Hapoel Kfar Shalem finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Hapoel Afula
35%
Draws
32%
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Hapoel Afula have managed 1.47 goals a game lately — Hapoel Kfar Shalem are scoring more at 2.
  • Win probability leans Hapoel Afula's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Hapoel Afula Clean Sheet 11%
Hapoel Kfar Shalem Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Afula Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.47 2
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem
3:3
Jan 12, 2026 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem
2:2
Sep 7, 2025 Leumit League
Hapoel Kfar Shalem vs Hapoel Afula
2:0
Mar 7, 2025 Leumit League
Hapoel Kfar Shalem vs Hapoel Afula
2:0
Nov 4, 2024 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Afula Compare

Top Goalscorer Mohammed D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Elimelech E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Hapoel Kfar Shalem Compare

Top Goalscorer Beit Yaakov M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Junio Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Afula 47 / 100
Hapoel Kfar Shalem 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Afula Hapoel Kfar Shalem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hapoel Afula Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Hapoel Kfar Shalem conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Hapoel Afula found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Hapoel Afula went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Afula VS Hapoel Kfar Shalem
2 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Afula

(Home)
09 Oct
Ironi Modiin
1 : 2
Hapoel Afula
01 Oct
Hapoel Afula
2 : 2
H. Ironi Rishon
24 Sept
Hapoel Akko
0 : 3
Hapoel Afula
17 Sept
Hapoel Afula
3 : 3
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
10 Sept
Maccabi Bnei Raina
4 : 2
Hapoel Afula
Page 1 of 6

Hapoel Kfar Shalem

(Away)
01 Oct
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1 : 2
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
28 Sept
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
3 : 1
Maccabi Jaffa
17 Sept
Hapoel Afula
3 : 3
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
10 Sept
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
3 : 3
M. Nazareth
06 Sept
SC Ashdod
4 : 0
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yehuda 9 7 2 0 20:7 23
2 SC Ashdod 8 7 0 1 18:6 21
3 H. Ironi Rishon 8 5 2 1 15:9 17
4 Hapoel Afula 9 5 2 2 18:13 17
5 Kiryat Yam 9 5 1 3 25:15 16
6 H. Raanana 8 5 0 3 19:11 15
7 Hapoel Kfar Shalem 8 4 2 2 17:17 14
8 MS Kafr Qasim 9 4 1 4 12:9 13
9 Maccabi Bnei Raina 9 4 1 4 13:13 13
10 M. Nazareth 9 3 1 5 10:13 10
11 Kiryat Gat 9 2 3 4 9:11 9
12 Ironi Modiin 9 2 2 5 13:17 8
13 M. Herzliya 9 2 2 5 9:13 8
14 Maccabi Jaffa 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
15 Hapoel Kfar Saba 8 2 0 6 9:20 6
16 Hapoel Akko 9 0 1 8 0:23 1
Promotion - Leumit League (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Leumit League (Relegation Group)