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Hapoel Afula vs M. Herzliya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Leumit League
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hapoel Afula host M. Herzliya in the Leumit League. This one's hard to separate. Hapoel Afula have averaged 1.47 scored and 1.47 conceded recently, against M. Herzliya's 1.24 scored and 1.38 conceded. Head-to-head, Hapoel Afula have won 1 to M. Herzliya's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Dec 19, 2025, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.75 - 1.25) back Hapoel Afula to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Hapoel Afula
30%
Draws
23%
M. Herzliya
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hapoel Afula

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hapoel Afula lately — more wins on the board than M. Herzliya.
  • Model gives Hapoel Afula a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Leumit League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Hapoel Afula Clean Sheet 19%
M. Herzliya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Afula M. Herzliya
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.47 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 19, 2025 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs M. Herzliya
1:0
Aug 25, 2025 Leumit League
M. Herzliya vs Hapoel Afula
1:0
Jan 3, 2025 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs M. Herzliya
2:3
Sep 2, 2024 Leumit League
M. Herzliya vs Hapoel Afula
2:2
Feb 23, 2024 Leumit League
M. Herzliya vs Hapoel Afula
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Afula 67 / 100
M. Herzliya 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Afula M. Herzliya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hapoel Afula Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: M. Herzliya conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Hapoel Afula found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Hapoel Afula has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Afula VS M. Herzliya
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Afula

(Home)
09 Oct
Ironi Modiin
1 : 2
Hapoel Afula
01 Oct
Hapoel Afula
2 : 2
H. Ironi Rishon
24 Sept
Hapoel Akko
0 : 3
Hapoel Afula
17 Sept
Hapoel Afula
3 : 3
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
10 Sept
Maccabi Bnei Raina
4 : 2
Hapoel Afula
Page 1 of 6

M. Herzliya

(Away)
09 Oct
M. Herzliya
1 : 2
M. Nazareth
01 Oct
SC Ashdod
1 : 0
M. Herzliya
24 Sept
M. Herzliya
1 : 3
Kiryat Yam
17 Sept
Yehuda
1 : 1
M. Herzliya
14 Sept
M. Herzliya
1 : 0
MS Kafr Qasim
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yehuda 9 7 2 0 20:7 23
2 SC Ashdod 8 7 0 1 18:6 21
3 H. Ironi Rishon 8 5 2 1 15:9 17
4 Hapoel Afula 9 5 2 2 18:13 17
5 Kiryat Yam 9 5 1 3 25:15 16
6 H. Raanana 8 5 0 3 19:11 15
7 Hapoel Kfar Shalem 8 4 2 2 17:17 14
8 MS Kafr Qasim 9 4 1 4 12:9 13
9 Maccabi Bnei Raina 9 4 1 4 13:13 13
10 M. Nazareth 9 3 1 5 10:13 10
11 Kiryat Gat 9 2 3 4 9:11 9
12 Ironi Modiin 9 2 2 5 13:17 8
13 M. Herzliya 9 2 2 5 9:13 8
14 Maccabi Jaffa 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
15 Hapoel Kfar Saba 8 2 0 6 9:20 6
16 Hapoel Akko 9 0 1 8 0:23 1
Promotion - Leumit League (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Leumit League (Relegation Group)