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Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Jaffa

Israel Israel

Leumit League
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Itzhak G.

AI Match Summary

The Leumit League game between Hapoel Afula and Maccabi Jaffa finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maccabi Jaffa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Hapoel Afula
15%
Draws
26%
Maccabi Jaffa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hapoel Afula

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Maccabi Jaffa haven't matched Hapoel Afula's recent run of results.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Hapoel Afula taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Maccabi Jaffa here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Hapoel Afula Clean Sheet 10%
Maccabi Jaffa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Afula Maccabi Jaffa
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.41 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Jaffa
0:1
May 19, 2026 Leumit League
Maccabi Jaffa vs Hapoel Afula
4:1
Feb 20, 2026 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Jaffa
0:5
Oct 17, 2025 Leumit League
Maccabi Jaffa vs Hapoel Afula
1:2
May 9, 2025 Leumit League
Maccabi Jaffa vs Hapoel Afula
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Afula Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Maccabi Jaffa Compare

Top Goalscorer Itzhak G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Afula 83 / 100
Maccabi Jaffa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Afula Maccabi Jaffa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hapoel Afula Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Hapoel Afula scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Maccabi Jaffa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Hapoel Afula remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Afula VS Maccabi Jaffa
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Afula

(Home)
24 Sept
Hapoel Akko
0 : 3
Hapoel Afula
17 Sept
Hapoel Afula
3 : 3
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
10 Sept
Maccabi Bnei Raina
4 : 2
Hapoel Afula
06 Sept
Hapoel Afula
0 : 1
Maccabi Jaffa
31 Aug
Hapoel Afula
3 : 2
H. Raanana
Page 1 of 6

Maccabi Jaffa

(Away)
17 Sept
Maccabi Jaffa
0 : 2
Maccabi Bnei Raina
10 Sept
Maccabi Jaffa
1 : 3
H. Raanana
06 Sept
Hapoel Afula
0 : 1
Maccabi Jaffa
30 Aug
Maccabi Jaffa
1 : 2
M. Nazareth
24 Aug
SC Ashdod
1 : 0
Maccabi Jaffa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Ashdod 7 6 0 1 17:6 18
2 H. Ironi Rishon 7 5 1 1 13:7 16
3 Yehuda 6 4 2 0 15:5 14
4 Hapoel Afula 7 4 1 2 14:10 13
5 Kiryat Yam 7 4 0 3 21:13 12
6 H. Raanana 6 4 0 2 16:8 12
7 Maccabi Bnei Raina 6 4 0 2 11:9 12
8 Kiryat Gat 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
9 M. Herzliya 7 2 2 3 8:10 8
10 Hapoel Kfar Shalem 6 2 2 2 12:15 8
11 MS Kafr Qasim 6 2 1 3 9:7 7
12 M. Nazareth 7 2 1 4 7:10 7
13 Hapoel Kfar Saba 6 2 0 4 8:16 6
14 Ironi Modiin 7 1 2 4 10:14 5
15 Maccabi Jaffa 6 1 0 5 5:14 3
16 Hapoel Akko 7 0 0 7 0:22 0
Promotion - Leumit League (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Leumit League (Relegation Group)