Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hapoel Afula vs Nof Hagalil

Israel Israel

Leumit League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hapoel Afula play Nof Hagalil in the Leumit League 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Hapoel Afula averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. Nof Hagalil averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. In past meetings, Hapoel Afula won 1, Nof Hagalil won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 15, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Hapoel Afula and 1.19 for Nof Hagalil. This points to a Hapoel Afula double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Hapoel Afula
20%
Draws
38%
Nof Hagalil
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hapoel Afula

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Hapoel Afula has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Nof Hagalil.
  • Model forecasts a 42% win probability edge for Hapoel Afula.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Leumit League 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Hapoel Afula Clean Sheet 20%
Nof Hagalil Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Afula Nof Hagalil
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 9 13
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 0.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs Nof Hagalil
2:1
Apr 14, 2026 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs Nof Hagalil
1:3
Dec 5, 2025 Leumit League
Nof Hagalil vs Hapoel Afula
1:1
May 2, 2025 Leumit League
Nof Hagalil vs Hapoel Afula
2:1
Feb 28, 2025 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs Nof Hagalil
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Afula Compare

Top Goalscorer Rabinovich R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Biton M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Nof Hagalil Compare

Top Goalscorer Sass P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Afula 42 / 100
Nof Hagalil 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Afula Nof Hagalil

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Afula scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Nof Hagalil let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Hapoel Afula went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Nof Hagalil lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Afula VS Nof Hagalil
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%