Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hapoel Afula vs Nof Hagalil

Israel Israel

Leumit League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Musonda K.
33' Event
Dabbur A.
42' Event
Rata I.

AI Match Summary

Nof Hagalil in this Leumit League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nof Hagalil.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Hapoel Afula
22%
Draws
18%
Nof Hagalil
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Hapoel Afula

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Hapoel Afula have won more games recently than Nof Hagalil.
  • Win probability leans Hapoel Afula's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Leumit League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Hapoel Afula Clean Sheet 68%
Nof Hagalil Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Afula Nof Hagalil
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 9 13
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 0.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs Nof Hagalil
2:1
Apr 14, 2026 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs Nof Hagalil
1:3
Dec 5, 2025 Leumit League
Nof Hagalil vs Hapoel Afula
1:1
May 2, 2025 Leumit League
Nof Hagalil vs Hapoel Afula
2:1
Feb 28, 2025 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs Nof Hagalil
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Afula Compare

Top Goalscorer Rata I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Nof Hagalil Compare

Top Goalscorer Musonda K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dabbur A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Afula 68 / 100
Nof Hagalil 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Afula Nof Hagalil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Afula's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Nof Hagalil let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Hapoel Afula went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Afula VS Nof Hagalil
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Afula

(Home)
18 Jul
Hapoel Afula
3 : 2
Dobrudzha
25 May
Hapoel Afula
2 : 0
MS Kafr Qasim
19 May
Maccabi Jaffa
4 : 1
Hapoel Afula
15 May
Hapoel Afula
2 : 1
Nof Hagalil
08 May
Hapoel Hadera
1 : 1
Hapoel Afula
Page 1 of 6

Nof Hagalil

(Away)
25 May
Nof Hagalil
2 : 2
Hapoel Akko
19 May
Nof Hagalil
0 : 2
Ironi Modiin
15 May
Hapoel Afula
2 : 1
Nof Hagalil
11 May
MS Kafr Qasim
1 : 1
Nof Hagalil
04 May
Maccabi Jaffa
2 : 0
Nof Hagalil
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Maccabi Petah Tikva30179467:3260
2M. Herzliya30148845:3550
3Hapoel Ramat Gan30147948:3649
4H. Ironi Rishon30139843:3348
5Hapoel Kfar Shalem30138951:4747
6Yehuda301281034:3744
7Kiryat Yam301371043:3742
8Hapoel Kfar Saba301181138:3941
9H. Raanana301081229:3638
10Maccabi Jaffa301071350:5037
11Hapoel Afula30991232:4836
12MS Kafr Qasim308101234:3934
13Nof Hagalil306141037:4532
14Ironi Modiin30881430:4132
15Hapoel Akko306131132:4231
16Hapoel Hadera304111532:4823
Promotion - Leumit League 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Leumit League 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)