Sport Picks

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Hapoel Afula vs Yehuda

Israel Israel

Leumit League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

81' Event
Dror S.

AI Match Summary

Yehuda in this Leumit League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Yehuda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Hapoel Afula
30%
Draws
43%
Yehuda
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Yehuda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Hapoel Afula haven't matched Yehuda's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Yehuda a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Leumit League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Hapoel Afula Clean Sheet 10%
Yehuda Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Afula Yehuda
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 15
Draws 9 12
Losses 8 2
Goals Scored 1.41 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs Yehuda
0:1
Oct 31, 2025 Leumit League
Yehuda vs Hapoel Afula
0:1
Jan 31, 2025 Leumit League
Yehuda vs Hapoel Afula
0:1
Sep 30, 2024 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs Yehuda
2:2
Mar 22, 2024 Leumit League
Yehuda vs Hapoel Afula
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Afula Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Yehuda Compare

Top Goalscorer Dror S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Afula 26 / 100
Yehuda 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Afula Yehuda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yehuda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Afula's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Yehuda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Hapoel Afula remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Afula VS Yehuda
2.13 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Afula

(Home)
24 Sept
Hapoel Akko
0 : 3
Hapoel Afula
17 Sept
Hapoel Afula
3 : 3
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
10 Sept
Maccabi Bnei Raina
4 : 2
Hapoel Afula
06 Sept
Hapoel Afula
0 : 1
Maccabi Jaffa
31 Aug
Hapoel Afula
3 : 2
H. Raanana
Page 1 of 6

Yehuda

(Away)
28 Sept
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1 : 2
Yehuda
17 Sept
Yehuda
1 : 1
M. Herzliya
10 Sept
Ironi Modiin
2 : 4
Yehuda
07 Sept
Yehuda
0 : 0
H. Ironi Rishon
31 Aug
Hapoel Akko
0 : 3
Yehuda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maccabi Petah Tikva 30 17 9 4 67:32 60
2 M. Herzliya 30 14 8 8 45:35 50
3 Hapoel Ramat Gan 30 14 7 9 48:36 49
4 H. Ironi Rishon 30 13 9 8 43:33 48
5 Hapoel Kfar Shalem 30 13 8 9 51:47 47
6 Yehuda 30 12 8 10 34:37 44
7 Kiryat Yam 30 13 7 10 43:37 42
8 Hapoel Kfar Saba 30 11 8 11 38:39 41
9 H. Raanana 30 10 8 12 29:36 38
10 Maccabi Jaffa 30 10 7 13 50:50 37
11 Hapoel Afula 30 9 9 12 32:48 36
12 MS Kafr Qasim 30 8 10 12 34:39 34
13 Nof Hagalil 30 6 14 10 37:45 32
14 Ironi Modiin 30 8 8 14 30:41 32
15 Hapoel Akko 30 6 13 11 32:42 31
16 Hapoel Hadera 30 4 11 15 32:48 23
Promotion - Leumit League 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Leumit League 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)