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Hapoel Arad vs Kfar Saba 1928 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

State Cup
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the State Cup. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Hapoel Arad at 4 goals for, 5 against; Kfar Saba 1928 at 1.2 for, 1.75 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.17 xG vs 0.93) point toward Kfar Saba 1928. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Hapoel Arad
25%
Draws
35%
Kfar Saba 1928
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Hapoel Arad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Kfar Saba 1928 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Kfar Saba 1928 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Hapoel Arad Clean Sheet 20%
Kfar Saba 1928 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Arad Kfar Saba 1928
Matches Played 1 20
Wins 0 5
Draws 0 5
Losses 1 10
Goals Scored 4 1.2
Goals Conceded 5 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Arad 32 / 100
Kfar Saba 1928 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Arad Kfar Saba 1928

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Arad's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 1 recent games.

Kfar Saba 1928 has conceded goals in 85% of their last 20 outings.

Away concern: Kfar Saba 1928 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Arad VS Kfar Saba 1928
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Arad

(Home)
09 Feb
Hapoel Arad
4 : 5
Nof Hagalil

Kfar Saba 1928

(Away)
01 Oct
Kfar Saba 1928
2 : 2
Hapoel Marmorek
24 Sept
Holon Yermiyahu
1 : 0
Kfar Saba 1928
17 Sept
Kfar Saba 1928
0 : 1
Hapoel Hadera
09 Sept
Ironi Beit Shemesh
1 : 4
Kfar Saba 1928
04 Sept
Kfar Saba 1928
1 : 2
Jerusalem FC
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm -
FC Shefa-Amr -
Hapoel Karmiel -
Maccabi Ironi Kfar Yona -
Hapoel Yarka -
Beitar Nahariya -
Ironi Nesher -
Kiryat Haim -
Nof Hagalil -
Hapoel Bnei Musmus -
Hapoel Tayibe -
Hapoel Daliyat -
MS Tira -
Maccabi Maalot -
Hapoel Bnei Jisr az-Zarqa -
Tzeirey Um El Fahem -
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi -
Beitar Mevaseret Zion -
Hapoel Arad -
Kfar Saba 1928 -
Hapoel Rahat FC -
Hapoel Sderot FC -
FC Dimona -
Yehuda -
Ramat Hasharon -
Bnei Eilat -
H. Herzliya -
Hapoel Azor -
Gissin Petah Tikva -
Beitar Petah Tikva -
Bnei Herzliya -
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