Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hapoel Azor vs Holon Yermiyahu

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
Mandelbaum L.
88' Event
Rahamim A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Hapoel Azor in this Liga Alef South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hapoel Azor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Hapoel Azor
20%
Draws
38%
Holon Yermiyahu
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hapoel Azor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Holon Yermiyahu lately — more wins on the board than Hapoel Azor.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Hapoel Azor Clean Sheet 68%
Holon Yermiyahu Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Azor Holon Yermiyahu
Matches Played 20 21
Wins 5 6
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 0.85 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.32 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 16, 2026 Liga Alef South
Hapoel Azor vs Holon Yermiyahu
2:0
Sep 5, 2025 Liga Alef South
Holon Yermiyahu vs Hapoel Azor
0:0
Apr 8, 2025 Liga Alef South
Holon Yermiyahu vs Hapoel Azor
2:2
Dec 13, 2024 Liga Alef South
Hapoel Azor vs Holon Yermiyahu
0:2
Mar 8, 2022 Liga Alef South
Holon Yermiyahu vs Hapoel Azor
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Azor Compare

Top Goalscorer Mandelbaum L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.25
Avg xA / game 0.16

Holon Yermiyahu Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Azor 42 / 100
Holon Yermiyahu 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Azor Holon Yermiyahu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Holon Yermiyahu conceded in 67% of 21 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Hapoel Azor stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Hapoel Azor scored in 55% of their last 20 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Azor VS Holon Yermiyahu
0.25 Goals Scored 0.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
38% Over 1.5 13%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Azor

(Home)
23 Sept
Hapoel Azor
2 : 0
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
18 Sept
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
3 : 0
Hapoel Azor
09 Sept
Hapoel Azor
2 : 0
Tzeirei Tira
03 Sept
Maccabi Yavne
3 : 0
Hapoel Azor
26 Feb
Hapoel Azor
2 : 1
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
Page 1 of 4

Holon Yermiyahu

(Away)
24 Sept
Holon Yermiyahu
1 : 0
Kfar Saba 1928
17 Sept
Shimshon Tel Aviv
3 : 1
Holon Yermiyahu
09 Sept
Holon Yermiyahu
1 : 0
Hapoel Marmorek
04 Sept
Holon Yermiyahu
0 : 0
Ramat Hasharon
27 Feb
Holon Yermiyahu
0 : 0
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kiryat Gat 21 17 4 0 53:18 55
2 Jerusalem FC 22 11 4 7 45:29 37
3 FC Dimona 22 11 4 7 29:30 37
4 Maccabi Yavne 22 10 6 6 42:28 36
5 Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi 22 10 5 7 27:27 35
6 Tzeirei Tira 21 10 3 8 33:24 33
7 Shimshon Tel Aviv 22 8 6 8 28:28 30
8 Beitar Yavne 22 9 3 10 27:34 30
9 Kfar Saba 1928 22 7 8 7 28:31 29
10 Holon Yermiyahu 22 6 6 10 30:33 24
11 Hapoel Marmorek 22 6 6 10 20:34 24
12 Hapoel Azor 21 5 8 8 17:20 23
13 H. Herzliya 22 5 7 10 22:36 22
14 Ramat Hasharon 22 5 5 12 24:43 19
15 Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 21 7 7 7 37:35 16
16 Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 22 3 6 13 28:40 15
Promotion - Leumit League (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)