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Hapoel Bikat Hayarden vs Beitar Tel Aviv Prediction & H2H Stats

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Levy A.
38' Event
Yosef H.
49' Event
Cohen M.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Alef South 2022/2023 game between Hapoel Bikat Hayarden and Beitar Tel Aviv finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hapoel Bikat Hayarden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Hapoel Bikat Hayarden
15%
Draws
46%
Beitar Tel Aviv
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Beitar Tel Aviv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Beitar Tel Aviv haven't matched Hapoel Bikat Hayarden's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Hapoel Bikat Hayarden's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Hapoel Bikat Hayarden Clean Sheet 20%
Beitar Tel Aviv Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Bikat Hayarden Beitar Tel Aviv
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 7 9
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.19 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2023 Liga Alef South
Hapoel Bikat Hayarden vs Beitar Tel Aviv
3:1
Nov 4, 2022 Liga Alef South
Beitar Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Bikat Hayarden
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Bikat Hayarden Compare

Top Goalscorer Levy A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yosef H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Beitar Tel Aviv Compare

Top Goalscorer Cohen M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Bikat Hayarden 49 / 100
Beitar Tel Aviv 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Bikat Hayarden Beitar Tel Aviv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hapoel Bikat Hayarden Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Beitar Tel Aviv conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Hapoel Bikat Hayarden scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Hapoel Bikat Hayarden remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Bikat Hayarden VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Bikat Hayarden

(Home)
03 May
Hapoel Bnei Lod
3 : 1
Hapoel Bikat Hayarden
26 Apr
Hapoel Bikat Hayarden
1 : 2
Hapoel Marmorek
19 Apr
Agudat Sport Ashdod
1 : 0
Hapoel Bikat Hayarden
12 Apr
Hapoel Bikat Hayarden
1 : 0
H. Herzliya
09 Apr
Shimshon Kafr Qasim
1 : 2
Hapoel Bikat Hayarden
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Beitar Tel Aviv

(Away)
21 Apr
Beitar Tel Aviv
0 : 2
Maccabi Yavne
14 Apr
Holon Yermiyahu
2 : 0
Beitar Tel Aviv
07 Apr
Beitar Tel Aviv
2 : 0
MS Ironi Kuseife
30 Mar
Bnei Eilat
2 : 3
Beitar Tel Aviv
24 Mar
Ironi Modiin
0 : 0
Beitar Tel Aviv
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 M. Herzliya 30 19 9 2 69:30 66
2 Hapoel Kfar Shalem 30 18 9 3 57:25 63
3 Maccabi Yavne 30 16 5 9 41:25 53
4 H. Herzliya 30 14 10 6 45:24 52
5 FC Dimona 30 13 12 5 53:32 51
6 Hapoel Bikat Hayarden 30 15 6 9 54:37 51
7 Hapoel Marmorek 30 12 9 9 39:33 45
8 Shimshon Tel Aviv 30 10 5 15 36:49 35
9 Holon Yermiyahu 30 7 13 10 29:42 34
10 MS Ironi Kuseife 30 10 4 16 36:52 34
11 Ironi Modiin 30 8 9 13 40:40 33
12 Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 30 7 11 12 29:41 32
13 Shimshon Kafr Qasim 30 7 9 14 28:67 30
14 Maccabi Shaarayim 30 6 9 15 26:39 27
15 Bnei Eilat 30 8 3 19 40:58 27
16 Beitar Tel Aviv 30 4 9 17 28:56 21
Promotion - Leumit League 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef - Promotion Play Offs 2022/2023 (Main)
Relegation - Liga Alef North 2022/2023 (Relegation)