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Stadium Background

Hapoel Bnei Jisr az-Zarqa vs Tzeirey Um El Fahem - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

State Cup
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the State Cup. This has Hapoel Bnei Jisr az-Zarqa written all over it on paper. Tzeirey Um El Fahem have shipped 1.39 goals a game lately, while Hapoel Bnei Jisr az-Zarqa have conceded 1.1 and scored 1.8. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Hapoel Bnei Jisr az-Zarqa. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Hapoel Bnei Jisr az-Zarqa
25%
Draws
35%
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Hapoel Bnei Jisr az-Zarqa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Tzeirey Um El Fahem haven't matched Hapoel Bnei Jisr az-Zarqa's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Hapoel Bnei Jisr az-Zarqa's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Hapoel Bnei Jisr az-Zarqa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Hapoel Bnei Jisr az-Zarqa Clean Sheet 20%
Tzeirey Um El Fahem Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Bnei Jisr az-Zarqa Tzeirey Um El Fahem
Matches Played 10 18
Wins 5 4
Draws 3 7
Losses 2 7
Goals Scored 1.8 1
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Bnei Jisr az-Zarqa 58 / 100
Tzeirey Um El Fahem 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Bnei Jisr az-Zarqa Tzeirey Um El Fahem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hapoel Bnei Jisr az-Zarqa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tzeirey Um El Fahem's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 18 matches.

Tzeirey Um El Fahem lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Bnei Jisr az-Zarqa VS Tzeirey Um El Fahem
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Bnei Jisr az-Zarqa

(Home)

Tzeirey Um El Fahem

(Away)
01 Oct
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
0 : 0
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
18 Sept
Ironi Nesher
5 : 1
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
10 Sept
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
1 : 1
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
06 Sept
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
0 : 0
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
27 Feb
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
1 : 2
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm -
FC Shefa-Amr -
Hapoel Karmiel -
Maccabi Ironi Kfar Yona -
Hapoel Yarka -
Beitar Nahariya -
Ironi Nesher -
Kiryat Haim -
Nof Hagalil -
Hapoel Bnei Musmus -
Hapoel Tayibe -
Hapoel Daliyat -
MS Tira -
Maccabi Maalot -
Hapoel Bnei Jisr az-Zarqa -
Tzeirey Um El Fahem -
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi -
Beitar Mevaseret Zion -
Hapoel Arad -
Kfar Saba 1928 -
Hapoel Rahat FC -
Hapoel Sderot FC -
FC Dimona -
Yehuda -
Ramat Hasharon -
Bnei Eilat -
H. Herzliya -
Hapoel Azor -
Gissin Petah Tikva -
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