Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hapoel Bnei Lod vs Beitar Nordia Jerusalem

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South 2024/2025 Lod Municipal Stadium, Lod
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Menashe E. B.
(Penalty)
52' Event
Schwartz M.
53' Event
Ben Basat R.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Alef South 2024/2025 game between Hapoel Bnei Lod and Beitar Nordia Jerusalem finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hapoel Bnei Lod.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Hapoel Bnei Lod
11%
Draws
9%
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Hapoel Bnei Lod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hapoel Bnei Lod come out ahead of Beitar Nordia Jerusalem on wins alone.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Hapoel Bnei Lod taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Hapoel Bnei Lod Clean Sheet 20%
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Bnei Lod Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
Matches Played 28 24
Wins 8 4
Draws 4 6
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2025 Liga Alef South
Hapoel Bnei Lod vs Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
3:2
Nov 26, 2024 Liga Alef South
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Bnei Lod
3:0
Mar 26, 2024 Liga Alef South
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Bnei Lod
1:0
Dec 28, 2023 Liga Alef South
Hapoel Bnei Lod vs Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
2:0
Jan 28, 2022 Liga Alef South
Hapoel Bnei Lod vs Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Bnei Lod Compare

Top Goalscorer Ben Basat R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ovadia D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem Compare

Top Goalscorer Schwartz M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Bnei Lod 76 / 100
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Bnei Lod Beitar Nordia Jerusalem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem has conceded goals in 83% of their last 24 outings.

Hapoel Bnei Lod went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Bnei Lod

(Home)
25 Apr
Hapoel Bnei Lod
4 : 1
Maccabi Shaarayim
08 Apr
Hapoel Bnei Lod
2 : 1
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
04 Apr
Hapoel Azor
1 : 2
Hapoel Bnei Lod
27 Mar
Holon Yermiyahu
1 : 1
Hapoel Bnei Lod
20 Mar
Hapoel Bnei Lod
3 : 2
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
Page 1 of 6

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem

(Away)
26 Feb
Hapoel Azor
2 : 1
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
20 Feb
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
1 : 2
Jerusalem FC
13 Feb
Tzeirei Tira
5 : 2
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
06 Feb
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
2 : 2
Ramat Hasharon
31 Jan
Kfar Saba 1928
2 : 1
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ironi Modiin30188445:1962
2Beitar Nordia Jerusalem30175850:3456
3H. Herzliya30167746:3255
4Maccabi Yavne30166844:3354
5FC Dimona30156943:2951
6Holon Yermiyahu301211742:2947
7Jerusalem FC30129947:4145
8Maccabi Ironi Ashdod3010101035:3140
9Agudat Sport Ashdod301081244:3538
10Shimshon Tel Aviv309111033:3438
11Hapoel Marmorek306121229:3830
12Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi306121222:3530
13Hapoel Azor30791428:4830
14Tzeirei Tira30781524:4429
15Hapoel Bnei Lod30851730:5829
16Maccabi Shaarayim30391824:4618
17Nes Tziona00000:00
18Shimshon Kafr Qasim00000:00
Promotion - Leumit League 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef - Promotion Play Offs (Main)