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Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Beitar Nahariya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Liga Alef North
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Mahajna M.
36'
Agbaria M.
64' Event
Gonzalez I.

AI Match Summary

Beitar Nahariya in this Liga Alef North matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Beitar Nahariya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
30%
Draws
47%
Beitar Nahariya
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Beitar Nahariya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Hapoel Bnei Musmus have won more games recently than Beitar Nahariya.
  • Model gives Beitar Nahariya a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 7%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Hapoel Bnei Musmus Clean Sheet 19%
Beitar Nahariya Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Bnei Musmus Beitar Nahariya
Matches Played 20 9
Wins 8 5
Draws 6 1
Losses 6 3
Goals Scored 1.15 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.25 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.03 1.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Beitar Nahariya
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Bnei Musmus Compare

Top Goalscorer Mahajna M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.79
Avg xA / game 0.52

Beitar Nahariya Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Biton I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.71

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Bnei Musmus 24 / 100
Beitar Nahariya 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Bnei Musmus Beitar Nahariya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Beitar Nahariya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Bnei Musmus's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Hapoel Bnei Musmus remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Beitar Nahariya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 9 matches.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Bnei Musmus VS Beitar Nahariya
0 Goals Scored 1.43
0 Goals Conceded 0.86
0% Over 1.5 71%
0% Over 2.5 43%
0% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Bnei Musmus

(Home)
09 Oct
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
0 : 0
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
30 Sept
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
1 : 0
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
23 Sept
MS Tira
1 : 1
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
18 Sept
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
1 : 2
Beitar Nahariya
10 Sept
Hapoel Karmiel
3 : 0
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
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Beitar Nahariya

(Away)
09 Oct
Beitar Nahariya
1 : 1
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
30 Sept
Ironi Nesher
4 : 1
Beitar Nahariya
23 Sept
Beitar Nahariya
3 : 0
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
18 Sept
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
1 : 2
Beitar Nahariya
10 Sept
Beitar Nahariya
2 : 0
H. Ihud Bnei Jatt
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MS Tira 6 4 2 0 12:5 14
2 Beitar Nahariya 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
3 Hapoel Karmiel 6 3 3 0 9:3 12
4 Ironi Nesher 5 3 1 1 14:5 10
5 Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik 6 3 1 2 15:9 10
6 Nof Hagalil 5 3 1 1 10:8 10
7 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
8 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 5 1 4 0 8:7 7
9 FC Tzeirey Tamra 6 2 0 4 7:15 6
10 Ironi Baka 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
11 Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
12 Hapoel Bnei Musmus 5 1 2 2 3:6 5
13 H. Ihud Bnei Jatt 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
14 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad 6 1 1 4 7:11 4
15 Beit Shean 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
16 Hapoel Tirat Karmel 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
17 Hapoel Ironi Arraba 6 0 2 4 2:14 2
18 Tzeirey Um El Fahem 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Leumit League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)