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Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Liga Alef North
Mon, Oct 19, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hapoel Bnei Musmus host Hapoel Ironi Arraba in the Liga Alef North. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Hapoel Bnei Musmus at 1.15 goals for, 1.25 against; Hapoel Ironi Arraba at 1.19 for, 2 against. Past meetings favor Hapoel Ironi Arraba slightly — 1-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 0.50) point toward Hapoel Bnei Musmus. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
35%
Draws
19%
Hapoel Ironi Arraba
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hapoel Bnei Musmus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Hapoel Bnei Musmus carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hapoel Bnei Musmus are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Hapoel Bnei Musmus Clean Sheet 20%
Hapoel Ironi Arraba Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Bnei Musmus Hapoel Ironi Arraba
Matches Played 20 21
Wins 8 4
Draws 6 6
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.15 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.25 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba
0:0
Nov 29, 2025 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus
2:1
Feb 18, 2025 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus
0:1
Sep 20, 2024 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Bnei Musmus 85 / 100
Hapoel Ironi Arraba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Bnei Musmus Hapoel Ironi Arraba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hapoel Bnei Musmus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Ironi Arraba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 21 matches.

Hapoel Bnei Musmus scored in 75% of their last 20 games.

Hapoel Bnei Musmus has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Hapoel Ironi Arraba's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Bnei Musmus VS Hapoel Ironi Arraba
0.25 Goals Scored 0.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Bnei Musmus

(Home)
09 Oct
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
0 : 0
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
30 Sept
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
1 : 0
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
23 Sept
MS Tira
1 : 1
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
18 Sept
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
1 : 2
Beitar Nahariya
10 Sept
Hapoel Karmiel
3 : 0
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Page 1 of 4

Hapoel Ironi Arraba

(Away)
09 Oct
Hapoel Ironi Arraba
0 : 0
H. Ihud Bnei Jatt
30 Sept
Hapoel Ironi Arraba
1 : 1
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
24 Sept
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
4 : 1
Hapoel Ironi Arraba
19 Sept
Hapoel Ironi Arraba
0 : 4
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
10 Sept
MS Tira
4 : 0
Hapoel Ironi Arraba
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MS Tira 6 4 2 0 12:5 14
2 Beitar Nahariya 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
3 Hapoel Karmiel 6 3 3 0 9:3 12
4 Ironi Nesher 5 3 1 1 14:5 10
5 Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik 6 3 1 2 15:9 10
6 Nof Hagalil 5 3 1 1 10:8 10
7 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
8 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 5 1 4 0 8:7 7
9 FC Tzeirey Tamra 6 2 0 4 7:15 6
10 Ironi Baka 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
11 Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
12 Hapoel Bnei Musmus 5 1 2 2 3:6 5
13 H. Ihud Bnei Jatt 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
14 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad 6 1 1 4 7:11 4
15 Beit Shean 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
16 Hapoel Tirat Karmel 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
17 Hapoel Ironi Arraba 6 0 2 4 2:14 2
18 Tzeirey Um El Fahem 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Leumit League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)